Here’s our Premier League Fantasy Tips GW4 article where we give our Defender and Goalkeeper player rankings for GW4. There’s a table of stats and commentary on key teams and players
Premier League Fantasy Tips GW4 – Defender And Goalkeeper Player Rankings
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The schedule ranking is based on 20/21 stats only. I won’t move to 21/22 stats until there is more data
The teams are ranked by defensive strength based on last seasons stats. Fixtures upcoming are not taken into account
Player values and stats were as of Monday 6 September
I’ve put a new stat in the schedule focusing on the Defensive performances so far this season. It’s called “21/22 xACS” or expected clean sheets. The stat counts the number of clean sheets that should have happened if a team has an xG of less than 1.0. You can see these each gameweek in my gameweek analysis posts
You can see the order pretty much follows last seasons overall stats with a few exceptions
You’d think paying £50m for a CB would strengthen the defence but Arsenal have the worst xG against of 10 in the league. They were overall and in the last 10 gameweeks of last season a good defensive side. Even with Partey out it’s hard to imagine they are that bad. A sending off against Man City obviously distorts the numbers.
Injuries haven’t helped but they have started very poorly. Like Arsenal not helped by a sending off. A full strength side will be a decent defensive team with 2 great attacking FBs in Castagne and Pereira
3 games where they should have had clean sheets. They are ranked 3rd in xG conceded. I guess we should have expected Benitez to have improved them defensively although games against Brighton and Southampton have helped the stat to some extent.
The real surprise and they are 2nd in xG conceded. Again some fixture bias with an Arsenal side with no Aubameyang and Lacazette and Palace in the 2nd fixture.
Possible transfer targets for GW4
The criteria is teams with reasonable defences with a good entry point and fixtures over the next 6 gameweeks
A great defence undoubtedly, the only question is who to pick. Rudiger seems the safest given his history with Tuchel last season. £5.7m Alonso and £5.6m 1 game suspended James are the most attacking but both will suffer from rotation. If last season is anything to go by the difference is that James will come on as an annoying 1 point sub but Alonso won’t. Reasonable entry point at home to Villa not that Chelsea need it.
This is based on the fact that surely the defence of last season is there somewhere and the fixtures are very good with an excellent entry point home to Norwich. £4.9m Tierney is the attacking option with the cheap option being £4.4m Ben White who should be fit for GW4.
As I said should we be suprised that Benitez has improved the defence so much, albeit only on 3 games including Southampton and Brighton.
Who to pick is tricky. I would say Digne at £5.4m is the safe choice although the most expensive and so far the jury is out on how his attacking ability has been effected. £5.0m CB Keane has played the first 3 games and should be safe given that Mina has only played 1 and Holgate only 2. I expect £4.9m Godfrey to be Keanes partner when fit.
Wolves have a great fixture run starting with Watford next. Given the back 3 formation played the wing backs seem the natural target with £4.5m Marcal the cheap option even though he has yet to set the world alight. £5.0m Saiss as an alternative is an excellent set piece attacking player.
The Fixture Ease Schedule
Here’s a schedule where the teams are ranked by the easiness of the attacking teams they face over the upcoming 6 gameweeks
The Clean Sheet schedule
I’ve kept the clean sheet schedule from last season just so you get a further view on the defensive strength
My schedule tries to focus on the stats that will lead to clean sheets rather than clean sheets themselves but I thought it would be worth while getting the clean sheet schedule from the premier league site