Last season the allocation of the fantasy premier league bonus points were pretty easy to predict. Goals and CBs getting the clean sheet related bonus points and assists getting nothing were the highlights. However there has been suggestions that this year the changes have seen other areas and players benefiting. I’ve therefore done my own analysis of the bonus points so far up to GW7. They make reasonably interesting reading
fantasy premier league bonus points – where are they going?
Background
Firstly I’ve tried to relate the allocation of bonus points to what I will call “events”. So when an event occurs, these events being goals, assists or clean sheets does it give a bonus point or not? To reverse that I’ve also looked at where bonus points came which were unrelated to these events to see if these events were indeed the main drivers of bonus points.
Just to add a few points before I show the results. I haven’t distinguished between levels of bonus points just to make the analysis simpler. I’ve also stripped out the bonus point allocations where the player got more than 1 event eg a goal and an assist or a clean sheet and an assist etc. These just confuse the reason for the allocation. In any case if you get more than 1 event you’ve got a 94% chance of getting some bonus points. Only 2 assists in some instances or coming on as a sub and getting 2 events led to no bonus points.
Results
Ok here’s the results:
- A goal led to bonus points in 65% (approximately 2/3’s) of cases
- Conversley an assist led to bonus points in only 18% of cases
- A clean sheet saw at least 1 of the defence or the GK get a bonus point in 82% of cases. Alot of where it didn’t happen was in big wins where attacking players dominated the bonus points
- looking at what defensive positions got the bonus points. They were shared as follows: CB’s 58%, FB’s 24% and GKs 18%
- Only 4% of the bonus points didn’t go with the 3 events or a double event. The CB was the biggest beneficiary
Pretty straight forward then. Goals get bonus points, assists don’t, a clean sheet will see someone get a bonus point, most of the time a CB.
So what does this mean?
So for attacking players all other things being equal goal scoring players rather than assist based players look a better bet. I took the case of the leading goal scoring midfielder of Chadli vs the leading assister of Fabregas to see what it showed. Fabregas has 7 assists. 4 of those are in pairs which got 5 bonus points. The other 3 single assists got no bonus points. As for Chadli he’s got 4 goals. 2 of those were in 1 match which incredibly only got 2 bonus points. The other 2 single goals got 2 bonus and 1 bonus point respectively. So sort of proved it. They both got 5 bonus points so far although the goals saw bonus points in 100% of cases and the assists (apart from the doubles) in 0% of cases.
All other things being equal CB’s seem the better bet than FBs. Not only are they more likely to get clean sheet related bonus points but generally you’d bank on them scoring. However thats not the case at the moment with Ivanovic and Dier topping the defensive scoring charts. So defenders who score rather than assist.
I hope that provides a little insight
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fantasy premier league bonus points
fantasy premier league bonus points
