Here’s our fantasy premier league form article of the season where we provide the underlying stats over the first 6 games to show players and teams recent form.
fantasy premier league form – underlying stats form tables up to GW6
Here’s the return of the tables I’ve done to look at underlying stats recent form.
People have different views as to what form constitutes. I think 4-6 games is way too short by itself and distorted by fixtures and one off performances so this season it will be for the last 10 gameweeks with 5 gameweeks as a very recent form check. As we are only at GW6 I will show up to there and introduce 10 games weeks and 5 when we get to that point.
I’ve taken all the information from the amazing free site understat.com.
Methodology
I’ve taken the last 6 gameweeks expected goals per 90 minutes (xG90) and expected assists per 90 (xA90) and turned them into projected FPL points over a hypothetical season. I’ve then adjusted it for the average minutes played per appearance.
Average minutes can be distorted by sub appearances and injury returns but those are imperfections I will have to live with to make it a viable article time wise
I’ve also added a value for money column for Mids and Fwds where I’ve just taken the projected points and divided them by the players value.
For attackers there’s no appearance clean sheet or bonus points. Just raw attacking points. For defenders the same.
Just because a player is in the schedule doesn’t mean he is fit or a guaranteed selection.
Values as of Monday 23/9
In each I’ve done the first 37. If a player isn’t on there they either didn’t qualify through points or minutes
Midfielders
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 6 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheet, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 180 over the last 6 gameweeks.
Notable players who didn’t make it.
Tielemans 38, Lamela 48, Zaha 65, Dendoncker 76, Perez 96
Forwards
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 6 gameweeks. No adjustment for bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 180 over the last 6 gameweeks.
Defence
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 5 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheets, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 180 over the last 5. As clean sheets are a major factor in defenders points there is no value for money calculation.
Dawson 38, Femenia 39, Pieters 40, Chilwell 41, Guilbert 43, Holebas 44, Van Aanholt 47, Shaw 54, Van Dijk 65, walker Peters 78, Soyuncu 93, Duffy 104
Team defence
The table is sorted by xG Against over the last 6 gameweeks. I’ve also shown the difference between goals against and xG Against. A positive figure is over performance . A negative under performance. Fabianski showing his shot stopping ability
| Rank | Team | M | GA | xGA | xGA-GA |
| 1 | Manchester United | 6 | 6 | 3.84 | -2.16 |
| 2 | Leicester | 6 | 5 | 5.58 | 0.58 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 6.11 | 0.11 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 6.59 | 1.59 |
| 5 | Everton | 6 | 9 | 6.83 | -2.17 |
| 6 | Sheffield United | 6 | 6 | 7.22 | 1.22 |
| 7 | Brighton | 6 | 8 | 7.22 | -0.78 |
| 8 | Burnley | 6 | 7 | 7.28 | 0.28 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 6 | 13 | 8.04 | -4.96 |
| 10 | Tottenham | 6 | 8 | 8.06 | 0.06 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 7 | 8.12 | 1.12 |
| 12 | Wolves | 6 | 11 | 8.45 | -2.55 |
| 13 | Southampton | 6 | 9 | 8.51 | -0.49 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 6 | 9 | 9.55 | 0.55 |
| 15 | Newcastle United | 6 | 8 | 9.74 | 1.74 |
| 16 | Arsenal | 6 | 10 | 11.03 | 1.03 |
| 17 | West Ham | 6 | 7 | 11.67 | 4.67 |
| 18 | Norwich | 6 | 14 | 12.04 | -1.96 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 6 | 10 | 12.30 | 2.30 |
| 20 | Watford | 6 | 18 | 14.02 | -3.98 |
Team attack
The table is sorted by xG over the last 6 gameweeks. I’ve also shown the difference between goals and xG. A positive figure is over performance . A negative under performance.
| Rank | Team | M | G | xG | G-xG |
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 24 | 20.99 | 3.01 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 6 | 17 | 11.77 | 5.23 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 6 | 12 | 11.30 | 0.70 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 6 | 8 | 9.97 | -1.97 |
| 5 | Southampton | 6 | 6 | 9.83 | -3.83 |
| 6 | West Ham | 6 | 8 | 8.94 | -0.94 |
| 7 | Watford | 6 | 4 | 8.42 | -4.42 |
| 8 | Arsenal | 6 | 11 | 8.36 | 2.64 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 6 | 12 | 8.14 | 3.86 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 6 | 11 | 8.13 | 2.87 |
| 11 | Brighton | 6 | 5 | 8.01 | -3.01 |
| 12 | Norwich | 6 | 9 | 7.74 | 1.26 |
| 13 | Sheffield United | 6 | 7 | 7.54 | -0.54 |
| 14 | Wolves | 6 | 7 | 7.41 | -0.41 |
| 15 | Everton | 6 | 5 | 7.36 | -2.36 |
| 16 | Burnley | 6 | 8 | 6.93 | 1.07 |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 6 | 6 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 18 | Leicester | 6 | 8 | 6.10 | 1.90 |
| 19 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 4 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 20 | Newcastle United | 6 | 4 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
The form team
Here’s a team I’ve put together based on the value for money principle with no allowance for fixtures. In defence I’ve gone by the top 6 teams in the team schedule but excluded City as they have such good attacking stats in the mids and forwards. Soyuncu is in due to value over Pereira and Digne instead of Coleman due to the Sidibe factor. Martial is an injury doubt but I had the money so he’s in as he was the last money plug.
Other posts
GW7 analysing 10 top FPL managers
Early thoughts on the FFGeek team
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