Here’s our fantasy premier league team tips GW15 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection.
fantasy premier league team tips GW15 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers
If the article is too long there’s a template team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.
Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season and I’m delighted to say that one of them is our own FFGeek contributor Keith Spencer. Keith’s last 3 years history are 17/18 (3,940), 16/17 ( 325) and 15/16 (9,280).
We’ve also added Paul Williams to the FFGeek team who is also part of the 10 top managers. His history is 17/18 (412), 16/17 ( 1,382) and 15/16 (7,164).
The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.
It took me hours and hours to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and my opinion after doing so is that there are probably only 20 or so in the world that qualify.
The 10 managers stats
These managers are unbelievable and every bit as impressive as last season
1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,667
2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)
3. 7 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons
Gameweek 14 review
A mixed week for the 10 FPL managers. Only 4 of the 10 had a green arrow
The average score of the managers in GW14 was 52 taking into account point deductions for extra transfers. That’s compared to the game average of 49. That’s 3 points and 6% above the game average score. High score of the 10 was 62. The low score was 38. A spread of 24 for a relatively average scoring gameweek.
The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 139k. A worsening of rank of 32k from last week. The best overall rank is now in the top 500 and the lowest 1,220k. The low score distorts the average significantly. The median overall rank is better at 58k a worsening of 15k from last week
The average total points are 866
The average team value is £102.9m
I’ll go through my score in an early FFGeek team article.
The combined total of individual players
I’ve included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams
Alonso is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Wan Bissaka is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Doherty is in 7 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Balbuena is in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Hamer, Patricio, Digne, and Robertson are in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Fabianski and Bennett are in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Goalkeeper/Defence by team
Wolves GK/Defs are represented 14 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Chelsea GK/Defs are represented 10 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
C Palace and West Ham GK/Defs are represented 8 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Liverpool are represented 7 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Brighton and Huddersfield GK/Defs are represented 4 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Salah and Richarlison are in 10 of the FPL managers teams
Hazard is in 6 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Hojbjerg is in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Sane, Fraser and Martial are in 2 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Aguero is in 10 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Arnautovic is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Wilson is in 3 of the 10 FPL teams
Ings is in 2 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Gameweek 14 captain choice
9 of the 10 FPL managers went with Aguero
with Hazard as vice, 1 to Sane as vice and 3 to Salah as vice
1 of the 10 went with Salah
The FFGeek poll was 44% Aguero and 20% Hazard
The Site 1 poll in my GW14 captain choice article was 34% Aguero, 18% Hazard
The top 10k captain choice (from the excellent free site FPL discovery) was 50% Aguero and 24% Sterling and 12% Hazard. This time not close to the FFGeek poll at all.
Didn’t get to do this this week
Wildcards, chips, transfers and hits
No manager used their wildcard this week the total now is 8 managers who have used it
None have used their triple captain, free hit or bench boost chip
Transfers in and out
I only summarise the transfers when a player is transferred in more than once.
5 of the 10 managers made a transfer.
Sane was transferred in by 2 managers
No one else was transferred in more than once
No one was transferred out more than once
No managers took any point deductions for a transfer
The leading manager’s team
Here’s the top scoring manager who’s currently in the top 500
A relatively low score of 45 this week. His transfer this week was Mane out and Sane in.
The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers
The schedule shows the players in the top 10k overall rank teams percentage wise vs the 10 top FPL managers I follow.
|GKs||top 10k||10 FPL managers|
The top 10k average score was 56 compared to the top 10 FPL managers of 52
I use 30% as a rule of thumb as a significant variation between the two teams and the only player that are different to this extent are 3:
Sterling owned by 43% of the top 10k but not any of the 10 top FPL managers
Salah owned by 60% of the top 10k but 100% of the 10 top FPL managers
Robertson owned by 73% of the top 10 but 4/10 top managers. This is smoothed out though by 7 of the 10 managers owning a Liverpool defender.
Things are widening though with Richarlison owned by 72% of the top 10k vs 10/10 of the 10 top FPL managers. Arnautovic is similar with a 25% difference the same way.
All the information is provided by the truly fantastic free site FPL discovery.
The combined FPL managers teams
Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. It is meant to be a menu of players rather than a realistic team. The TV is £104.0m.
So who’s essential?
I feel that things are going to change significantly over the next 2 gameweeks so I’m going to put this to one side to not distract people.
That’s it. Hope you found it useful
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