Here’s our fantasy premier league team tips GW24 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection.
fantasy premier league team tips GW24 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers
If the article is too long there’s a combined FPL managers team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.
Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season and I’m delighted to say that one of them is our own FFGeek contributor Keith Spencer. You can find Keith on twitter here by the way Keith’s last 3 years history are 17/18 (3,940), 16/17 ( 325) and 15/16 (9,280).
We’ve also added Paul Williams to the FFGeek team who is also part of the 10 top managers. His history is 17/18 (412), 16/17 ( 1,382) and 15/16 (7,164).
The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.
It took me hours and hours to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and my opinion after doing so is that there are probably only 20 or so in the world that qualify.
The 10 managers stats
Just to let you know I’ve taken out the person who was distorting the average very negatively and replaced them with someone else meeting the last 3 seasons less than 10k OR. I haven’t amended the calculations below but they will be improved due to the substitution.
These managers are unbelievable and every bit as impressive as last season.
1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,667
2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)
3. 7 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons
Gameweek 23 review
A relatively poor week for the 10 FPL managers. 7 of the 10 had a red arrow
The average score of the managers in GW23 was 64 taking into account point deductions for extra transfers. That’s compared to the game average of 53. That’s 15 points and 21% above the game average score. High score of the 10 was 82. The low score was 55 (-8). A very high spread of 35 even for a high scoring gameweek.
The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 42k a worsening of rank from last week of 39k. The best overall rank is now around the top 100 and the lowest 120k.
The average total points are 1,427
The average team value is £104.6m
You can see my score and rank in the early FFGeek team article which I’ll do next.
The combined total of individual players
I’ve included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams
Wan Bissaka is in 10 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Doherty is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Digne is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Fabiasnki and Alexander Arnold are in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Alonso, Robertson, Shaw, Bednarek and Patricio are in 3 of the FPL managers teams
Goalkeeper/Defence by team
Wolves GK/Defs are represented 14 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Liverpool GK/Defs are represented 11 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
C Palace GK/Defs are represented 10 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Everton GK/Defs are represented 8 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
West Ham GK/Defs are represented 5 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Chelsea, Man Utd and Southampton GK/Defs are represented 3 times in the 10 FPL managers teams
Salah is in 10 of the FPL managers teams
Pogba is in 9 of the FPL managers teams
Richarlison is in 8 of the FPL managers teams
Hazard is in 6 of the FPL managers teams
Felipe Anderson is in 4 of the FPL managers teams
Alli and Sane are in 3 of the FPL managers teams
Rashford is in 10 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Aubameyang is in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Kamara and Jimenez are in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams
Ings is in 3 of the 10 managers teams
Gameweek 23 captain choice
10 of the 10 FPL managers went with Salah
The FFGeek poll was 76% Salah, 8% Aguero and 4% Pogba
The Site 1 poll in my GW22 captain choice article was 62% Salah, 7% Pogba and 5% Rashford
The top 10k captain choice (from the excellent free site FPL discovery) was 86% Salah and 4% Pogba and Aguero 2%. The FFGeek poll this time wasn’t too far off.
Not done this week
Wildcards, chips, transfers and hits
1 of the managers have used their 2nd wildcard
Here’s his team:
His score was 78. He’s currently ranked 29k OR and his team value is £103.7m
None have used their triple captain, free hit or bench boost chip.
I suspect the FPL managers will use the 2nd wildcard either just before or during a double gameweek. See my double and blanks article on where these are likely to be. This is where teams play twice due to FA Cup postponed games being put into other gameweeks.
I imagine the triple captain chip and the bench boost chips will be used when there is a double gameweek.
The free hit chip will be used in either a double or a blank week as I’ll explain in an upcoming article.
Transfers in and out
I only summarise the transfers when a player is transferred in more than once.
10 of the 10 managers made a transfer. 1 used their wildcard as I said above.
The transfer count includes the wildcard transfers
Rashford was transferred in by 6 managers
Alli was transferred in 3 times
Allison, Shaw and Pogba were transferred in twice
No one else was transferred in more than once
Kane was transferred out by 6 of the 10 FPL managers
Son was transferred out by 3 of the FPL managers
Fabianski, Alexander Arnold and Snodgrass were transferred out by 2 of the managers
No one else was transferred out more than once
2 managers took a 4 point deduction for a extra transfers
2 managers took an 8 point deduction for extra transfers
The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers
The schedule shows the players in the top 10k overall rank teams percentage wise vs the 10 top FPL managers I follow.
|GKs||top 10k||10 top FPL managers|
The top 10k average score was 66 compared to the 10 top managers average of 64.
I use 30% as a rule of thumb as a significant variation between the two player sets.
Only 2 players fit that criteria of difference
Robertson is owned by 70% of the top 10k but only 30% of the 10 top FPL managers
Doherty is owned by 59% of the top 10k but 90% of the 10 top managers
All the information is provided by the truly fantastic free site FPL discovery.
The score and the players similarities show how close the top 10k and the 10 top FPL managers teams are
The combined FPL managers teams
Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. Please note that it is meant to be a menu of players rather than a realistic team and it’s value is nothing like achievable.
So who’s worth considering as essential?
I define this by either 70% of the top 10k own a player or defensive team or 7 of the 10 top FPL managers own him
Digne (owned by 8 of the 10 FPL managers)
Liverpool defence (GK/Def represented 11 times of the 10 FPL managers)
Salah (owned by 9 of the 10 managers)
Richarlison (owned by 7 of the 10 FPL managers)
Pogba (owned by 7 of the 10 FPL managers)
Rashford (owned by 10/10 FPL managers)
Doherty (Wolves defence represented 14 times in the 10 FPL managers teams). Doherty was benched v Leicester though for reasons I’m unsure of.
Wan Bissaka (owned 10 of the 10 top FPL managers but is often a bench player so maybe avoidable)
So that’s 6 essentials and 2 maybe. This leaves room for 7 differentials/bench two pointers.
The wildcard team above
He has all 8 of the players above in the to be considered essential bracket. He has 3 bench players in Bednarek, Hamer and Success leaving room for 4 differentials in Alisson (double Liverpool defence), Alli, Sterling and Jimenez.
That’s it hope you found it useful
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