fantasy premier league team tips GW24 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers


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Here’s our fantasy premier league team tips GW24 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection.

fantasy premier league team tips GW24 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers





If the article is too long there’s a combined FPL managers team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.

Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season and I’m delighted to say that one of them is our own FFGeek contributor Keith Spencer. You can find Keith on twitter here by the way Keith’s last 3 years history are 17/18 (3,940), 16/17 ( 325) and 15/16 (9,280).

We’ve also added Paul Williams to the FFGeek team who is also part of the 10 top managers. His history is 17/18 (412), 16/17 ( 1,382) and 15/16 (7,164).

The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.

It took me hours and hours to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and my opinion after doing so is that there are probably only 20 or so in the world that qualify.

The 10 managers stats

Just to let you know I’ve taken out the person who was distorting the average very negatively and replaced them with someone else meeting the last 3 seasons less than 10k OR. I haven’t amended the calculations below but they will be improved due to the substitution.

These managers are unbelievable and every bit as impressive as last season.

1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,667

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)

3. 7 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons

Gameweek 23 review

A relatively poor week for the 10 FPL managers. 7 of the 10 had a red arrow

The average score of the managers in GW23 was 64 taking into account point deductions for extra transfers. That’s compared to the game average of 53. That’s 15 points and 21% above the game average score. High score of the 10 was 82. The low score was 55 (-8). A very high spread of 35 even for a high scoring gameweek.

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 42k a worsening of rank from last week of 39k. The best overall rank is now around the top 100 and the lowest 120k.

The average total points are 1,427

The average team value is £104.6m

You can see my score and rank in the early FFGeek team article which I’ll do next.

The combined total of individual players

I’ve included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence

Wan Bissaka is in 10 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Doherty is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Digne is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Fabiasnki and Alexander Arnold are in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Alonso, Robertson, Shaw, Bednarek and Patricio are in 3 of the FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by team

Wolves GK/Defs are represented 14 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Liverpool GK/Defs are represented 11 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

C Palace GK/Defs are represented 10 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Everton GK/Defs are represented 8 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

West Ham GK/Defs are represented 5 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Chelsea, Man Utd and Southampton GK/Defs are represented 3 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Midfielders

Salah is in 10 of the FPL managers teams

Pogba is in 9 of the FPL managers teams

Richarlison is in 8 of the FPL managers teams

Hazard is in 6 of the FPL managers teams

Felipe Anderson is in 4 of the FPL managers teams

Alli and Sane are in 3 of the FPL managers teams

Forwards

Rashford is in 10 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Aubameyang is in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Kamara and Jimenez are in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Ings is in 3 of the 10 managers teams

Gameweek 23 captain choice

10 of the 10 FPL managers went with Salah

The FFGeek poll was 76% Salah, 8% Aguero and 4% Pogba

The Site 1 poll in my GW22 captain choice article was 62% Salah, 7% Pogba and 5% Rashford

The top 10k captain choice (from the excellent free site FPL discovery) was 86% Salah and 4% Pogba and Aguero 2%. The FFGeek poll this time wasn’t too far off.

Formations

Not done this week

Wildcards, chips, transfers and hits

1 of the managers have used their 2nd wildcard

Here’s his team:



fantasy premier league team tips GW24

His score was 78.  He’s currently ranked 29k OR and his team value is £103.7m

None have used their triple captain, free hit or bench boost chip.

I suspect the FPL managers will use the 2nd wildcard either just before or during a double gameweek. See my double and blanks article on where these are likely to be. This is where teams play twice due to FA Cup postponed games being put into other gameweeks.

I imagine the triple captain chip and the bench boost chips will be used when there is a double gameweek.

The free hit chip will be used in either a double or a blank week as I’ll explain in an upcoming article.

Transfers in and out

I only summarise the transfers when a player is transferred in more than once.

10 of the 10 managers made a transfer. 1 used their wildcard as I said above.

The transfer count includes the wildcard transfers

Transfers in

Rashford was transferred in by 6 managers

Alli was transferred in 3 times

Allison, Shaw and Pogba were transferred in twice

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Kane was transferred out by 6 of the 10 FPL managers

Son was transferred out by 3 of the FPL managers

Fabianski, Alexander Arnold and Snodgrass were transferred out by 2 of the managers

No one else was transferred out more than once

Hits

2 managers took a 4 point deduction for a extra transfers

2 managers took an 8 point deduction for extra transfers

The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers

The schedule shows the players in the top 10k overall rank teams percentage wise vs the 10 top FPL managers I follow.

GKs top 10k 10 top FPL managers
Fabianski 36 40
Alisson 13 30
Ederson 11 n/a
Patrício 10 30
Etheridge 9 10
Foster 8 n/a
Lloris 4 n/a
DEFs
Wan-Bissaka 80 100
Robertson 70 30
Digne 69 80
Doherty 59 90
Alex-Arnold 22 40
Bennett 19 20
Shaw 18 30
Alonso 16 20
van Dijk 14 n/a
Bednarek 13 30
MIDs
Salah 94 100
Pogba 79 90
Hazard 57 60
Richarlison 57 80
Sané 34 30
Felipe Anderson 29 40
Sterling 13 10
Camarasa 12 10
Alli 5 30
FWDs
Rashford 87 100
Jiménez 51 40
Aubameyang 31 50
Kamara 21 40
Firmino 20 n/a
Agüero 16 n/a
Ings 11 30
Wilson 7 10

The top 10k average score was 66 compared to the 10 top managers average of 64.

I use 30% as a rule of thumb as a significant variation between the two player sets.

Only 2 players fit that criteria of difference

Robertson is owned by 70% of the top 10k but only 30% of the 10 top FPL managers

Doherty is owned by 59% of the top 10k but 90% of the 10 top managers

All the information is provided by the truly fantastic free site FPL discovery.

The score and the players similarities show how close the top 10k and the 10 top FPL managers teams are

The combined FPL managers teams

Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. Please note that it is meant to be a menu of players rather than a realistic team and it’s value is nothing like achievable.

fantasy premier league team tips GW24

So who’s worth considering as essential?

I define this by either 70% of the top 10k own a player or defensive team or 7 of the 10 top FPL managers own him

Digne (owned by 8 of the 10 FPL managers)

Liverpool defence (GK/Def represented 11 times of the 10 FPL managers)

Salah (owned by 9 of the 10 managers)

Richarlison (owned by 7 of the 10 FPL managers)

Pogba (owned by 7 of the 10 FPL managers)

Rashford (owned by 10/10 FPL managers)

Plus maybes

Doherty (Wolves defence represented 14 times in the 10 FPL managers teams).  Doherty was benched v Leicester though for reasons I’m unsure of.

Wan Bissaka (owned 10 of the 10 top FPL managers but is often a bench player so maybe avoidable)

So that’s 6 essentials and 2 maybe. This leaves room for 7 differentials/bench two pointers.

The wildcard team above

He has all 8 of the players above in the to be considered essential bracket.  He has 3 bench players in Bednarek, Hamer and Success leaving room for 4 differentials in Alisson (double Liverpool defence), Alli, Sterling and Jimenez.

That’s it hope you found it useful

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