FPL best fixtures GW12 – a fixture ease schedule for attacking players and defensive players


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Here’s our FPL best fixtures GW12 with our fixture ease schedules. Here we look at the teams and players with the best fixtures from an attacking players and a defensive players perspective over the next 6 gameweeks.

FPL best fixtures GW12 – a fixture ease schedule for attacking players and defensive players

Methodology

Were getting near to the point where I will only use 19/20 data but I’m still basing it on 18/19 and making adjustments for current form etc. I’m expecting to move fully to 19/20 data over the November International break before GW13

The idea is to have 2 fixture ease schedules as teams don’t have the same quality of defence as they do attack. Take Arsenal for instance. One will rank the teams by the ease of the opposition defences they face over the upcoming games. That will be called the attackers fixture ease schedule.

The 2nd will rank the teams by the ease of the attacking teams they face. This will be called the defenders fixture ease schedule.

I have done this by looking at the goals scored last season to rank attacking teams and goals conceded last season to rank defensive teams on a home and away basis. I’ve then applied a factor against the average goals home and away. I have adjusted some of the factors if a team over or under performed their expected goals by a considerable margin but that was only in a low number of cases. For the promoted teams I have tried to find a proxy team from 18/19 teams and used their data although there are some adjustments as we get a look at them. I’ve also made subjective adjustments for transfer activity. I will keep using last seasons data adjusted until I feel there is enough to move onto this seasons.

I have a fixture graphic below which I’ve colour coded for difficulty. It is just to improve the visual aspect of the schedule and the factors I’ve talked about above, rather than the just the colours, are basis for calculation.

Player values are Tuesday 5th  November

A fixture ease schedule for attacking players

Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the defences they face over the next 6 gameweeks. There’s attacking player suggestions below.




FPL best fixtures GW12

Attacking player stats

Here I’ve picked out the 5 teams with the best fixtures. That’s Leicester, Southampton, Chelsea,Wolves and Newcastle.

I’ve put their 18/19 points per match, their 19/20 points per match:

Leicester

£9.4m fwd Vardy – 18/19 PPM – 5.1 PPM 19/20 – 7.3. Has penalty duties

£7.4m mid Maddison – 18/19 PPM – 3.8 PPM 19/20 – 5.3

£6.5m mid Tielemans – 18/19 PPM – 4.8 PPM 19/20 – 4.6

£6.1m mid Perez – 18/19 PPM – 3.8 PPM 19/20 – 4.5

£5.9m mid Barnes – 18/19 PPM – 2.7 PPM 19/20 – 4.0

Southampton

£6.0m fwd Ings – 18/19 PPM – 3.8 PPM 19/20 – 4.1. Has penalty duties

£6.2m mid Redmond – 18/19 PPM – 3.6 PPM 19/20 – 2.9

£5.8m mid Ward-Prowse – 18/19 PPM – 3.6 PPM 19/20 – 3.4

Chelsea

£7.9m fwd Abraham – 18/19 PPM – N/A PPM 19/20 – 6.6.

£6.9m mid Mount – 18/19 PPM – N/A PPM 19/20 – 5.0

£7.3m mid Pulisic – 18/19 PPM – N/A PPM 19/20 – 5.9

Wolves

£7.2m fwd Jimenez – 18/19 PPM – 4.8 PPM 19/20 – 4.7. Has a share of penalty duties

Newcastle

No one at present

A fixture ease schedule for defensive players

Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the attacking teams they face over the next 6 gameweeks. There’s defensive player suggestions below.




FPL best fixtures GW12

Defensive player stats

Here I’ve picked out the 5 teams with the best fixtures in the schedule. That’s Wolves, Leicester, Newcastle, Man Utd and Southampton

I’ve put their 18/19 points per match and their 19/20 points per match.

Wolves

If Doherty could get guaranteed starts as a wingback even at £6.0m he would be worth considering but that’s not the case yet although he’s started the last 2

£5.2m GK Patricio – 18/19 PPM – 3.2. PPM 19/20 – 4.2

£4.4m Def Saiss – 18/19 PPM – 2.5 PPM 19/20 – 2.2.  Started the last 2 but injuries should mean he will keep his place

Leicester

£5.1m GK Schmeichel – 18/19 PPM – 3.2. PPM 19/20 – 4.2

£4.8m Def Soyuncu – 18/19 PPM – 1.5 PPM 19/20 – 4.3.

£5.6m Def Chilwell – 18/19 PPM – 3.3 PPM 19/20 – 5.3.

£6.3m Def Ricardo Pereira – 18/19 PPM – 4.2 PPM 19/20 – 4.9.

Newcastle

£5.0m GK Dubravka – 18/19 PPM – 3.4. PPM 19/20 – 3.5

£4.4m Def Lascelles – 18/19 PPM – 3.0 PPM 19/20 – 3.4.

Man Utd

£5.5m GK De Gea – 18/19 PPM – 3.2. PPM 19/20 – 3.6

£5.4m Def Maguire – 18/19 PPM – 3.0 PPM 19/20 – 2.5.

£5.4m Def Wan Bissaka – 18/19 PPM – 3.4 PPM 19/20 – 2.6

Southampton

£4.5m Def Bednarek – 18/19 PPM – 2.0 PPM 19/20 – 1.7

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