FPL best fixtures GW4 – a fixture ease schedule for attacking players and defensive players


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Here’s our FPL best fixtures GW4 with our fixture ease schedules. Here we look at the teams and players with the best fixtures from an attacking players and a defensive players perspective over the next 6 gameweeks.

FPL best fixtures GW4 – a fixture ease schedule for attacking players and defensive players

Introduction

Last season I used the official fantasy premier league fixture difficulty ranking as the base for my fixture ease articles. This schedule divided fixtures up into 4 categories without distinguishing between teams attacking and defensive capabilities.

So for example to give the same ranking for the Arsenal and Bournemouth attack and defence didn’t seem to work for me as they both had good attacks but poor defence.

So I’ve started working on my own fixture ease schedule based on my own calculations. Here’s a bit of background on methodology

Methodology

While we are in the early part of the season there’s alot of reliance on the 18/19 fixtures.

The idea is to have 2 fixture ease schedules. One will rank the teams by the ease of the opposition defences they face over the upcoming games. That will be called the attackers fixture ease schedule.

The 2nd will rank the teams by the ease of the attacking teams they face. This will be called the defenders fixture ease schedule.

I have done this by looking at the goals scored last season to rank attacking teams and goals conceded last season to rank defensive teams on a home and away basis. I’ve then applied a factor against the average goals home and away. I have adjusted some of the factors if a team over or under performed their expected goals by a considerable margin but that was only in a low number of cases. For the promoted teams I have tried to find a proxy team from 18/19 teams and used their data although there are some adjustments as we get a look at them. I’ve also made subjective adjustments for transfer activity. I will keep using last seasons data adjusted until I feel there is enough to move onto this seasons.

I have a fixture graphic below which I’ve colour coded for difficulty. It is just to improve the visual aspect of the schedule and the factors I’ve talked about above, rather than the just the colours, are basis for calculation.

A fixture ease schedule for attacking players

Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the defences they face over the next 6 gameweeks. There’s player suggestions and last seasons PPM and this seasons PPM next to them




fantasy premier league best fixtures GW4

Player suggestions

West Ham

£7.4m fwd – Haller scored a goal or assist every 90 minutes for Frankfurt in the Bundesliga 18/19.  PPM 19/20 –  7.5

£6.9m mid Felipe Anderson if fit – 18/19 PPM – 4.3. PPM 19/20 – 3.0

Aston Villa

£5.6m mid – McGinn – Scored a goal or assist every 235 minutes for Villa in the Championship 18/19. 19/20 PPM – 5.0

£5.5m mid – Trezeguet – Scored a goal or assist every 170 minutes for Kasimpasa in Turkey 18/19. 19/20 PPM – 1.7

£6.0m fwd – Wesley – Scored a goal or assist every 119 minutes for Brugge in Belguim 18/19.  19/20 PPM – 4.3

Arsenal

£11.0m fwd Aubameyang – 18/19 PPM  – 5.7.  PPM 19/20 – 5.7

£9.5m fwd Lacazette – 18/19 PPM – 4.7 PPM 19/20 – 4.5

£5.6m mid Ceballos – scored a goal or assist every 415 minutes for Real Madrid in 18/19.  19/20 PPM – 4.7

Manchester City

£12.2m mid – Sterling – 18/19 PPM 4.2. 19/20 – PPM 11.3

£9.7m mid De Bruyne- 18/19 PPM 3.1 although distorted by substitution apps. PP90 was 5.5. 19/20 – PPM 7.7

£7.9m mid – Bernardo Silva – 18/19 PPM 4.3. 19/20 – PPM 2.0

£7.4m mid – David Silva – 18/19 PPM 4.3. 19/20 – PPM 4.7

£12.0m mid – Aguero – 18/19 PPM 6.1. 19/20 – PPM 8.0

A fixture ease schedule for defensive players

Here’s a fantasy premier league best fixtures GW4 graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the attacking teams they face over the next 6 gameweeks. There’s player suggestions and last seasons PPM and this seasons PPM next to them.  This has been tweaked from earlier in the week.




Player suggestions

Everton

£6.0m Digne – 18/19 PPM 4.5. 19/20 – PPM 6.0

Chelsea

£5.5m Emerson – 18/19 PPM 2.2. Distorted by Sub appearances. PP90 – 3.0 19/20 – PPM 1.0

Liverpool

£7.0m  Alexander Arnold– 18/19 PPM 6.4.   19/20 – PPM 3.7

£7.0m Robertson – 18/19 PPM 5.9. 19/20 – PPM 2.0

£6.5m Van Dijk – 18/19 PPM 5.5. 19/20 – PPM 4.0

£5.4m Matip – 18/19 PPM 3.8. 19/20 – PPM 5.5

Man City

£5.5m def Zinchenko – 18/19 PPM change of position adjusted I believe was 5.7. 19/20 – PPM 3.0

£6.5m def Laporte – 18/19 PPM 5.1. 19/20 – PPM 3.0

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GW3 review from an underlying stats perspective

Analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

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2 thoughts on “FPL best fixtures GW4 – a fixture ease schedule for attacking players and defensive players”

    • Hi mate, I did that due to their next fixture being v Arsenal meaning it’s not really a player suggestion anyone should look at this week Cheers

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