Here’s our Premier League Fantasy Tips GW13 article where we give our Defender and Goalkeeper player rankings for GW13. There’s a table of stats and commentary on key teams and players plus transfer suggestions for your FPL team
Premier League Fantasy Tips GW13 – Defender And Goalkeeper Player Rankings Plus Transfer Suggestions
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The schedule
The schedule ranking is based on 21/22 stats. The schedule ranks the teams by averaging their Goals against and their expected goals against. It is not adjusted for upcoming fixtures
Player values and stats were as of Wednesday 24th November
There’s a stat in the schedule focusing on the Defensive performances so far this season. It’s called “xCS” or expected clean sheets. The stat counts the number of clean sheets that should have happened if a team has an xG against of less than 1.0. You can see these each gameweek in my gameweek analysis posts
The key part of the article is the transfer suggestions for this week where I’ve tried to balance a good entry point, defensive strength of the team and upcoming fixture easiness.
Player suggestions for GW13
Here’s some transfer suggestions for GW13 where, as I said above, I’ve tried to balance a good entry point, defensive strength of the team and upcoming fixture easiness. You can see the fixtures on the fixture ease schedule below
See also my best attacking defenders review as of GW12
Man City
With 5 assists in his first 12 games Cancelo is the obvious attacking pick. He’s also started every game and played 90 minutes in 11 of them. He also has a pretty good record of not coming on as sub for those annoying 1 pointers when he doesn’t start. Only once this happened last season in 28 PL appearances.
After that it’s difficult. Dias at £6.0m and Walker at £5.5m offer as much gametime security as you can expect from the Pep defence but as we saw last week with Dias rotated it can happen anytime.
Laporte if he can get his place back offers some attacking potential at £5.5m while Stones is the value pick at £5.3m if he can usurp Laporte as Dias’s CB partner
Good fixtures after a tough entry point but this as much about being the leagues best defence.
Chelsea
Again like Man City’s fixture Man Utd at home is not a great entry point but they are such a strong defensive side and such is the attacking potential of £6.1m James and £5.6m Alonso if he comes in for the likely injured Chilwell (reports are that he’s out for the season) that clean sheets are only part of what you’re getting. James historically has more annoying 1 pointer potential while Alonso will only have a right footed Azpilicueta as competition for his spot if Chilwell is confirmed out.
After that you’re looking at £5.9m for the increased gametime security of Rudiger but with little attacking or bonus history despite the goal last week. £4.9m Christensen and £4.8m Chalobah are the cheap options and now maybe ahead of Azpilicueta although how much of that has been down to Azpilicueta’s injury recovery I’m not sure of.
Liverpool
Liverpool have had some defensive wobbles recently with only 2 of the last 7 getting expected clean sheets. However I have ranked them 3rd overall and they still have managed 7 clean sheets only 1 less than Man City and Chelsea
However such is Alexander Arnold’s attacking potential with a goal and 6 assists this season in his 10 starts that he’s an excellent choice.
Good entry point vs Southampton and great fixtures ahead
Brighton
The defence has fallen away somewhat from what it was last season and they have only had 2 expected clean sheets in the last 8.
However, they have a faltering Leeds next and a good run after that apart from West Ham.
Duffy has only been left out of the team in 1 game this season and is excellent value at £4.3m. He has produced a goal and assist this season and does have some attacking potential.
I personally think there’s most potential in LWB Cucurella despite his lack of attacking returns to date but he is more expensive at £5.0m.
C Palace
Last week against Burnley was the first crack in what has been an excellent defensive performance this season. The consistency log I keep and have talked about above (you can see this in the Patreon version of the article) shows 3 of the last 4 games having expected clean sheets. However they are the worst team for set piece conceded goals which Burnley exposed ruthlessly. That needs to improve
They have the advantage in price with all options being around £4.5m. The problem is that there is no real attacking option. They have 1 goal and 1 assist between the back 4 this season. None either are particularly good bonus collecters.
For that reason I could be persuaded to go with Guaita in goal rather than a defender although his save % stats are pretty ordinary to say the least.
GK goals saved over expected goals saved per 90 from Fbref
In essence this shows the form shot stoppers so far this season. It compares the per 90 goals saved vs expected goals saved so is a variation on the save% table I normally give. I think you’ll find it quite interesting.
Other Posts
Following the teams of 12 top FPL managers
2 FFGeek Contributors Teams for GW13 Part 1
2 FFGeek Contributors Teams for GW13 Part 2
The FPL transfer planner and points projection tool for GW13
The FFGeek Fixture Ease Schedule
Early thoughts on the FFGeek Team
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