fantasy premier league GW30 tips – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

Here’s our fantasy premier league GW30 tips article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection.

FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE GW30 TIPS – ANALYSING THE TEAMS OF 10 TOP FPL MANAGERS

If the article is too long there’s a template team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article. I also state which player I think will hurt you if you don’t own them

THE 10 MANAGERS STATS

This season we welcome back 4 of last seasons managers who were the subject of our article. We add to that a new 6 managers. Stats of these managers are unbelievable and every bit as impressive as last season

1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 2,963

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)

3. All 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons




GAMEWEEK REVIEW

As I didn’t do an article last week the references to improvements and worsening will be over 2 gameweeks

An ordinary week for the top 10 FPL managers. 4/10 had green arrows.

The average score of the managers in GW29 was 51 compared to the game average of 46. That’s 5 points and 11% above the game average score. High score of the 10 was 62. The low score was 43. A  spread of 19 for a reasonably low scoring gameweek.

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers saw an improvement of rank to 233k compared to 201k in the last gameweek. An average rank worsening of 32k. The best overall rank is 24k and the lowest 881k.

The average total points are 1,660

The average value dropped by £0.5m to £103.9m

If you’re interested my score was good at 66. It resulted in a 18k green arrow with my overall rank moving to 42k. I had a higher score than all 10 managers. I’m ahead in OR terms at the moment of 7 of the 10 managers. My team value has dropped to £103.0m. My total points are 1,709 pts. You can see my early thoughts on the FFGeek team article for GW30.

GK/DEFS BY PLAYER

Elliot is in 8/10 FPL managers teams

Van Dijk is in 6/10 FPL managers teams

Mee is in 5/10 FPL managers teams

Ogbonna is in 4/10 FPL managers teams

Naughton, Alonso, Daniels and Kenny are in 3/10 FPL managers teams

GK/DEFS BY TEAM

Newcastle GK/Defs are represented 10 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

 Liverpool GK/Defs are represented 8 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Chelsea, Swansea and Burnley GK/Defs are represented 6 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Everton, Brighton, Bournemouth and West Ham GK/Defs are represented 4 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

MIDFIELDERS

Salah is in 9/10 FPL managers teams

Sterling is in 8/10 FPL managers teams

Shaqiri and Walcott are in 6/10 FPL managers teams

 T Carroll is in 3/10 FPL managers teams

Son, Mahrez, Choupo Moting and Eriksen are in 2/10 FPL managers teams

FORWARDS

Kane is in 10/10 FPL managers teams

Firmino is in 9/10 FPL managers teams

Wilson and Aguero are in 4/10 FPL teams

GW29 CAPTAIN CHOICE

Salah was the captain in 6/10 of the FPL managers teams

Kane was the captain in 4/10 of the FPL managers teams

The top 10k Overall rank captained Salah 58% and Kane 38% (provided by FPL Discovery)

The FFGeek poll was Salah 47%, Kane 47%

The FPL advice site with the most traffic was Salah 42%, Kane 37%

FORMATIONS

6 managers played 3-4-3

2 managers played 3-5-2

1 manager played 4-4-2

1 manager played 4-3-3

WILDCARDS, TRANSFERS AND HITS

0/10 have now played their 2nd wildcard.

None of the 10 have played their bench boost

3/10 have played their triple captain chip.

1/10 played their free hit chip.

In this round 2 managers took a 4 point deduction for additional transfers.

7/10 of the managers made a transfer.

Transfers in

B Davies and Robertson was transferred in 2 times

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Jones and Deulofeu were transferred out 2 times

 No one was transferred out more than once

FOCUS ON 1 MANAGERS TEAM

The celebrity manager we followed last season finished around the 20k mark so he’s not in the group this season. This season were going to focus on the manager each week who had the highest finish last season with an amazing overall rank of 15 believe it or not. The 3 years before that his ranks were 5,529. 1, 550 and 759. Unbelievable.

 fantasy premier league GW30 tips

An poor score of 45 for the manager. He was the 8th highest scorer for the gameweek and his rank is now 357k. A worsening of rank of 105k from the last 2 gameweek rank of 252k. His points total is 1,619. He’s the 8th ranked of the 10 FPL managers.

THE HIGHEST RANKED MANAGER

 I’ve decided to change this to just show you the team of the highest ranked manager

 He scored 50 points and has an OR of 24k.  He didn’t make a transfer last week.  His last 3 years history are 3,874, 796 and 8,391

fantasy premier league GW30 TIPS

THE TOP 10K OVERALL RANK VS THE FPL MANAGERS

Lets look at the differences in the 2:

GKs Top 10k 10 FPL managers
de Gea 44 n/a
Pope 17 20
Fabianski 6 20
Adrián 5 20
Pickford 4 10
Ederson 3 n/a
Foster 3 20
Elliot n/a 80
DEFs
Otamendi 41 20
Davies 38 20
van Dijk 24 60
Robertson 23 20
Mee 20 50
Alonso 19 20
Azpilicueta 14 n/a
Mbemba 11 20
Ogbonna 9 40
MIDs
Salah 99 90
Sterling 43 80
Shaqiri 36 60
De Bruyne 19 10
Walcott 16 60
Mahrez 15 20
Son 15 20
Milivojevic 10 10
Carroll 9 30
FWDs
Firmino 76 90
Kane 74 100
Agüero 39 40
Wilson 18 40
Vardy 16 n/a
Jordan Ayew 14 n/a
Quaner 8 20
Niasse 5 n/a

The top 10k favour more than the FPL managers (using more than 30% as a significant difference):

De Gea

The top 10 managers favour more than the top 10k (using more than 30% as a significant difference)

Elliot, Van Dijk, Sterling and Walcott

The top 10k average score was 54 and the 10 FPL managers average score was 51.

All this information is from the excellent site FPL discovery

THE COMBINED TOP 10 FPL MANAGERS TEAM

This is the illustrative combines team for the top 10 managers if you like. It’s cost is around £101.5m.




fantasy premier league GW30 tips

WHO COULD HURT YOUR RANK IF YOU DON’T OWN THEM

Using my rule of thumb of owned by 7/10 of the top 10 FPL managers or 70% of the top 10k then the following players are in that category:

Liverpool defence 7/10

 Salah – 9/10 plus 99%

Sterling – 8/10

Kane – 10/10 plus 74%

Firmino – 9/10 plus 76%

This is not saying you should own them just think carefully before you don’t

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GEEK LEAGUES

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fantasy premier league GW30 – some early thoughts on the FFGeek team

March 6, 2018

FPL underlying stats GW30 – expected goals totals

March 7, 2018

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