fantasy premier league best fixtures GW2 – a fixture ease schedule for attacking players and defensive players


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Here’s our fantasy premier league best fixtures GW2 with a fixture ease schedule where we look at the teams with the best fixtures from an attacking players and a defensive players perspective for the next 6 gameweeks.

fantasy premier league best fixtures GW2 – a fixture ease schedule for attacking players and defensive players

Introduction

Last season I used the official fantasy premier league fixture difficulty ranking as the base for my fixture ease articles. This schedule divided fixtures up into 4 categories without distinguishing between teams attacking and defensive capabilities.

So for example to give the same ranking for the Arsenal and Bournemouth attack and defence didn’t seem to work for me as they both had good attacks but poor defence.

So I’ve started working on my own fixture ease schedule based on my own calculations. Here’s a bit of background on methodology

Methodology

The idea is to have 2 fixture ease schedules. One will rank the teams by the ease of the opposition defences they face over the upcoming games. That will be called the attackers fixture ease schedule.

The 2nd will rank the teams by the ease of the attacking teams they face. This will be called the defenders fixture ease schedule.

I have done this by looking at the goals scored last season to rank attacking teams and goals conceded last season to rank defensive teams on a home and away basis. I’ve then applied a factor against the average goals home and away. I have adjusted some of the factors if a team over or under performed their expected goals by a considerable margin but that was only in a low number of cases. For the promoted teams I have tried to find a proxy team from 18/19 teams and used their data. You can see my article on the promoted teams if you’re interested in more information on their form in the Championship. I’ve also made subjective adjustments for transfer activity.  I will keep using last seasons data adjusted until I feel there is enough to move onto this seasons.

At the moment there are no “perception” adjustments. So for example Arsenal were terrible away last season defensively (ranked 15th in goals conceded away) and Man Utd were also pretty ordinary in goals conceded home and away ( ranked 10th home and away in goals conceded). I have not given them a discretionary positive “bump” for being a top 6 team. However I have made a subjective adjustment for their signings of Maguire and Wan Bissaka. I have a fixture graphic below which I’ve colour coded for difficulty. It is just to improve the visual aspect of the schedule and the factors I’ve talked about above, rather than the just the colours, are basis for calculation.



A fixture ease schedule for attacking players

Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the defences they face over the next 6 gameweeks. There’s player suggestions and last seasons PPM/ this seasons points next to them

fantasy premier league best fixtures GW2

Best 6 Teams attacking player suggestions

West Ham

Haller fwd £6.5m – new to FPL 2 points GW1

Aston Villa

For me Villa need more watching before picking players but if you are desperate then new to FPL players £5.5m Mids Trezeguet (1 point) and McGinn (7 points) probably came out with the most positives

C Palace

Only really £7.0m mid Zaha for me here.  Last season PPM 4.2 as a forward.  1 point coming on as sub in GW1

Manchester City

De Bruyne and and Sterling are probably the best bets for gametime security at the moment.

£9.5m mid De Bruyne  – 3.1 ppm in 18/19 and 7 points in GW1

£12.0m mid Sterling – 6.9 ppm in 18/19 and 20 points GW1

Manchester United  

Rashford £8.5m fwd 3.9 ppm in 18/19 and 13 points GW1

Martial £7.5m mid 4.5m ppm in 18/19.  7 points GW1

Wolves

Jota £6.5m fwd 4.2m ppm in 18/19 and 2 points GW1

Jimenez £7.5m fwd 4.8 ppm in 18/19 and 2 points GW1



A fixture ease schedule for defensive players

Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the attacking teams they face over the next 6 gameweeks. There’s player suggestions and last seasons PPM/ this seasons points next to them

fantasy premier league best fixtures GW2

Best 6 Teams defensive player suggestions

C Palace

Scott Dann £4.5m def 2.3 ppm 18/19 and 6 points GW1

Van Aanholt £5.5m def  3.4 ppm 18/19 and 6 points GW1

Chelsea

£5.5m Def Emerson 2.2 ppm 18/19 and 0 points in GW1

Everton

£6.0m Def Digne 4.7 ppm in 18/19 and 6 points GW1

West Ham

£4.5m Def Balbuena 2.7 ppm in 18/19 and -1 points in GW1

Liverpool

£7.0m Alexander Arnold  6.4 ppm in 18/19 and 5 points in GW1

£7.0m Robertson  5.9 ppm in 18/19 and 2 points in GW1

£6.5m Van Dijk  5.5 ppm in 18/19 and 8 points in GW1

With Alisson injured probably for 4-6 weeks although no return date given by the club £4.5m reserve GK Adrian becomes a bargain replacement.

Norwich

£4.5m Aarons new to FPL 0 points in GW1

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3 thoughts on “fantasy premier league best fixtures GW2 – a fixture ease schedule for attacking players and defensive players”

    • Hi Rob, I think it’s also worth mentioning that they also play 3 promoted sides and a side in Wolves that away from home only scored 19 goals last season which was 14th ranked and only 3 goals more than Brighton and 1 goal more than Newcastle.

      Hope you had a good GW1 cheers

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