Here’s our fantasy premier league form article where we provide the underlying stats over the first 10 and the last 5 games to show players and teams recent form.
fantasy premier league form – underlying stats form tables up to GW10
People have different views as to what form constitutes. I think 4-6 games is way too short by itself and distorted by fixtures and one off performances so this season it will be for the last 10 gameweeks with 5 gameweeks as a very recent form check.
I’ve taken all the information from the amazing free site understat.com.
Methodology
I’ve taken the last 10 gameweeks expected goals per 90 minutes (xG90) and expected assists per 90 (xA90) and turned them into projected FPL points over a hypothetical season and ranked them (rank 10). I’ve then adjusted it for the average minutes played per appearance. I’ve also now added in shots per 90 mins and Key passes per 90 mins for mids and forwards.
There’s also the last 5 game weeks as a comparison (rank 5)
Average minutes can be distorted by sub appearances and injury returns but those are imperfections I will have to live with to make it a viable article time wise
I’ve also added a value for money column for Mids and Fwds where I’ve just taken the projected points and divided them by the players value.
For attackers there’s no appearance clean sheet or bonus points. Just raw attacking points. For defenders the same.
Just because a player is in the schedule doesn’t mean he is fit or a guaranteed selection.
Values as of Tuesday 29 October
In each I’ve done the first 37 or so. If a player isn’t on there they either didn’t qualify through points or minutes
Midfielders
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 10 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheet, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 360 over the last 10 gameweeks. 180 minutes minimum over the last 5
Notable players who didn’t make it and their rank:
Traore 41, H Wilson 39, Zaha 42, H Barnes 43, McNeil 54, Fraser 59, Guendouzi 64, Dendoncker 74
Forwards
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 10 gameweeks. No adjustment for bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 360 over the last 10 gameweeks. 180 over the last 5.
Defence
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 10 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheets, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 360 over the last 10. As clean sheets are a major factor in defenders points there is no value for money calculation.
Notable players who didn’t make it and their rank:
Pereira 43, Wan Bissaka 47, Janmaat 49, Sokratis 51, Van Dijk 59, Holebas 65, Willems 67, Lascelles 73, Matip 76, Tomori 79, Soyuncu 84
Team defence
The table is sorted by xG Against over the last 10 gameweeks. I’ve also shown the difference between goals against and xG Against. A positive figure is over performance.
| № | Team | M | GA | xGA | xGA-GA |
| 1 | Manchester United | 10 | 10 | 8.10 | -1.90 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 10 | 8 | 9.52 | 1.52 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 9 | 11.26 | 2.26 |
| 4 | Burnley | 10 | 15 | 11.31 | -3.69 |
| 5 | Leicester | 10 | 8 | 11.74 | 3.74 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 16 | 12.10 | -3.90 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 10 | 16 | 12.29 | -3.71 |
| 8 | Wolves | 10 | 13 | 13.12 | 0.12 |
| 9 | Sheffield United | 10 | 8 | 14.13 | 6.13 |
| 10 | Tottenham | 10 | 15 | 14.94 | -0.06 |
| 11 | Arsenal | 10 | 14 | 15.56 | 1.56 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 10 | 13 | 15.92 | 2.92 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 12 | 15.93 | 3.93 |
| 14 | Brighton | 10 | 14 | 16.26 | 2.26 |
| 15 | Newcastle United | 10 | 15 | 16.77 | 1.77 |
| 16 | Southampton | 10 | 25 | 17.12 | -7.88 |
| 17 | Watford | 10 | 21 | 17.13 | -3.87 |
| 18 | Aston Villa | 10 | 16 | 17.97 | 1.97 |
| 19 | West Ham | 10 | 14 | 19.52 | 5.52 |
| 20 | Norwich | 10 | 24 | 22.66 | -1.34 |
Team attack
The table is sorted by xG over the last 10 gameweeks. I’ve also shown the difference between goals and xG. A positive figure is over performance . A negative under performance.
| № | Team | M | G | xG | G – xG |
| 1 | Manchester City | 10 | 32 | 32.73 | -0.73 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 10 | 23 | 20.65 | 2.35 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 10 | 23 | 20.53 | 2.47 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 10 | 13 | 17.44 | -4.44 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 10 | 15 | 15.11 | -0.11 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 10 | 14.52 | -4.52 |
| 7 | West Ham | 10 | 12 | 14.25 | -2.25 |
| 8 | Arsenal | 10 | 15 | 14.18 | 0.82 |
| 9 | Southampton | 10 | 9 | 14.10 | -5.10 |
| 10 | Brighton | 10 | 12 | 13.71 | -1.71 |
| 11 | Leicester | 10 | 25 | 13.31 | 11.69 |
| 12 | Burnley | 10 | 14 | 13.14 | 0.86 |
| 13 | Wolves | 10 | 13 | 12.87 | 0.13 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 10 | 13 | 12.71 | 0.29 |
| 15 | Watford | 10 | 5 | 12.45 | -7.45 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 10 | 16 | 12.16 | 3.84 |
| 17 | Norwich | 10 | 11 | 11.58 | -0.58 |
| 18 | Sheffield United | 10 | 9 | 11.12 | -2.12 |
| 19 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 10 | 11.04 | -1.04 |
| 20 | Newcastle United | 10 | 6 | 5.75 | 0.25 |
A fixture ease schedule for attacking players
Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the defences they face over the next 6 gameweeks.
A fixture ease schedule for defensive players
Here’s a graphic where the teams are ranked by the ease of the attacking teams they face over the next 6 gameweeks.
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