fantasy premier league tips forwards GW34 – player rankings


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Here’s our fantasy premier league tips forwards GW34 article in our player rankings series. There’s a table of stats to help you make your transfer choice.

fantasy premier league tips forwards GW34 – player rankings




This is the 3rd article in our player rankings series. See the defender and GK player and the midfielder rankings

Methodology

I’ve generally started with a selection of forwards who have fixtures and I think will start in GW34 and have some longevity in the team.

I’ve then looked at their expected goals and assists data in 18/19 so far as well as how it relates to their historical numbers. After that I’ve then adjusted it for their ability to over/underperform, their bonus potential, their fixtures over the next 5 and any specific 18/19 factors and numbers.

Stats definitions

PP90 mins adjusted: I’ve taken their Points per 90 and adjusted them for average minutes played in the last 10 games.

FFG Proj PPG: The PPG going forward using the above methodology adjusted for minutes played

Consistency: the % of starts where the player has scored a goal or assist. Only appearance of 45 mins or more count

Average mins last 10: The average minutes played when starting in the last 10 gameweeks

ATGS odds – 1 bookies anytime goalscoring odds for the player. It assumes they start and doesn’t include assist potential. There are no odds for game 2.

Form ranking: See my form article. These are their rankings among midfielders for the last 10 and 5 gameweeks. NA means they didn’t play enough minutes to qualify.

Player values are as of 11 April

The schedule

Here’s a link to the google spreadsheet if you want to copy it and make any adjustments or filter a particular way

The players are ranked on their ongoing FFGeek points per game assessment. The FFG projection includes an adjustment for fixture difficulty to the end of the season.  The lower the number the better the fixtures to the end of the season. See my fixture ease article




fantasy premier league tips forwards GW34

A few players with FFG projections different than their current PP90

Aubameyang is about fixtures and incredible underlying stats

King is partly about fixtures and partly because he has been undershooting his underlying stats despite a strong history of over performing which gives hope for improvement

Murray is about good fixtures as is Ings as is Lacazette

Lukaku has been undershooting his underlying stats despite a history of over performing which gives hope for improvement

Who ticks all the boxes?

Aside from my projections in my mind you would ideally want a player who:

averages 80 minutes

has 50% plus consistency for a premium player and 40% plus for a cheaper player

good form over the last 10 and 5 matches and has a DGW34/35.

Jimenez is the only player who ticks all those boxes

Official FPL fixture schedule

Other stuff

If you’re needing to plan your FPL transfers use Joseph Crilleys google spreadsheet which is an excellent team planning tool.

See also 5 FFGeek contributors first draft WC teams plus another 3 contributors WC teams as well as the  Geeks first draft wildcard team

There’s also Andrew Ferguson’s wildcard draft team.  He finished with an OR of 715 last season

Follow FFGeek on twitter and facebook and instagram for article updates and news

Geek League links and details

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Sky Sports fantasy football

Enter PIN: 836767

Sun Dream Team

League PIN is SGDKX9Y3

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