fantasy premier league captain pick GW3 – plus transfer poll results


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Here’s our fantasy premier league captain pick GW3 article. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FFGeek captain poll, the contributors picks and some stats to seek out the best captain choice.  There’s also the results of the transfer polls.

fantasy premier league captain pick GW3 – plus transfer poll results

Geek note: If you join our Patreon site you will get access to an FPL contributor tracker team which combines the contributors individual teams each week to show their favourite players, transfers and captains. It will always be completed on a Friday/Saturday in a normal gameweek. There will also be a spreadsheet of each managers teams, transfers and captains so you can drill down further.

You also get:

Joe’s interactive transfer planner and points projection tool

Weekly podcasts with myself and the contributors

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The fixtures

 fantasy premier league GW3 captain pick

Bookies team odds to win

Odds to win for £1 staked

Bournemouth v Man City £1.18 – Sterling De Bruyne

Spurs v Newcastle £1.25 – Kane

Man Utd v C Palace £1.35 – Martial, Rashford, Pogba

Liverpool v Arsenal £1.47 – Salah, Mane, Firmino

The Bookies player odds

The odds are for £1 invested up to £2.40. They assume the player starts and ignores assist potential.




£1.50 – Kane

£1.67 – Sterling, Aguero

£1.91 – Salah

£1.95 – Son HM

£2.00 – Pukki, Moura

£2.05 – Mane

£2.15 – Rashford, Martial

£2.20 – Abraham, Giroud, Firmino

£2.37 – Vardy, Jimenez, Lamela

£2.40 – Haller, Chicharito

The Captain Poll

The captain poll asks who will be your captain?

fantasy premier league GW3 captain pick

The contributors captain picks

Sterling v Kane stats

Sterling away vs non top 6 stats in 18/19

fantasy premier league GW3 captain pick

So Sterling returned in 6 of 12 games 3 of which were double figures.  The other 3 returns were just assists with no bonus.

Kane at home to non top 6 sides in 18/19

So a similar picture although Kane returned in 5 of 7 which is a higher % than Sterling

Defences

Bournemouth at home last season conceded 25 goals vs an xGA of around 25.

Newcastle away conceded 23 goals against an xGA of around 30.

I suspect this is largely due to the difference in goal keeping quality.

Both were ranked 10th in xG conceded home and away respectively.




Summary

The bookies have Kane as a reasonable favourite over Sterling by £1.50 over £1.67

The polls favour Sterling as the most captained.  This will largely be due to the ownership differences.

The stats are fairly similar both from an attacking and defensive perspective.

The FFGeek view

I don’t own Kane so Sterling it is for me.  If I did own Kane though I would go with him I think.  Newcastle’s extremely poor defensive performance against Norwich being the main reason and the fact that Rafa has left means they seem to have lost that defensive strength of last season.

Good luck whoever you choose

 The transfer in and out polls

fantasy premier league captain pick GW3

Other GW3 posts

Analysing 10 top FPL managers teams

Early thoughts on the FFGeek team

Bandwagons and sinking ships

Fixture ease article

Transfer in and out polls

The GW3 captain poll

The FFGeek team for GW3

Geek note: If you join our Patreon site you will get access to an FPL contributor tracker team which combines the contributors individual teams each week to show their favourite players, transfers and captains. It will always be completed on a Friday/Saturday in a normal gameweek. There will also be a spreadsheet of each managers teams, transfers and captains so you can drill down further.

You also get:

Joe’s interactive transfer planner and points projection tool

Weekly podcasts with myself and the contributors

FFGeek private leagues

Access to the FFGeek Slack channel for discussion with the contributors and members

$2 and $3 tiers per calendar month. No commitment beyond 1 month

FFGeek league code codes:

fantasy premier league:  fnqq66

Sky Sports fantasy football:  fantasyfootball.skysports.com/leagues/join with PIN 8426114

Telegraph fantasy football:  passcode 8693.  PIN code 8000919.  The telegraph have also offered a prize of £100 to the winner.

Sun Dream Team:

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H2H PIN:  SGFU3CR9

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