Here’s our fantasy premier league form article where we provide the underlying stats over the first 10 and the last 5 games to show players and teams recent form.
fantasy premier league form – underlying stats form tables up to GW12
People have different views as to what form constitutes. I think 4-6 games is way too short by itself and distorted by fixtures and one off performances so this season it will be for the last 10 gameweeks with 5 gameweeks as a very recent form check.
I’ve taken all the information from the amazing free site understat.com.
Methodology
I’ve taken the last 10 gameweeks expected goals per 90 minutes (xG90) and expected assists per 90 (xA90) and turned them into projected FPL points over a hypothetical season and ranked them (rank 10). I’ve then adjusted it for the average minutes played per appearance.
There’s also the last 5 game weeks as a comparison (rank 5)
Average minutes can be distorted by sub appearances and injury returns but those are imperfections I will have to live with to make it a viable article time wise
I’ve also added a value for money column for Mids and Fwds where I’ve just taken the projected points and divided them by the players value.
For attackers there’s no appearance clean sheet or bonus points. Just raw attacking points. For defenders the same.
Just because a player is in the schedule doesn’t mean he is fit or a guaranteed selection.
Values as of Sunday 17 November
In each I’ve done the first 37 or so. If a player isn’t on there they either didn’t qualify through points or minutes
Midfielders
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 10 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheet, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 360 over the last 10 gameweeks. 180 minutes minimum over the last 5
Top 5 value for money midfielders over last 10 gameweeks
Pulisic
D Silva
Grealish
Cantwell
Sterling
Biggest rank risers last 10 GWks to last 5 GWks
Almiron 11 places – 31st last 10 GWks to 20th last 5 GWks
Willian 8 places – 14th last 10 to 6th last 5
Saint Maximin 7 places – 23rd last 10 to 16th last 5
Biggest rank fallers last 10 to last 5
Tom Cleverley 78 places – 24th last 10 GWks to 102nd last 5 GWks
Cantwell – 46 places – 18th last 10 GWks to 64th last 5 GWks
Eriksen – 46 places – 36th last 10 GWks to 82nd last 5 GWks
Redmond – 40 places – 27th last 10 GWks to 67th last 5 GWks
Other notables
Top of the last 5 gameweeks form is Martial with 4 games averaging 66 minutes with an xG of 0.87 and an xA of 0.34. He didn’t qualify minutes wise for the last 10 gameweeks.
Snodgrass was also a strong entry last 5 in 13th
Players who didn’t make the cut
Pereyra 40th, Zaha 41, H Barnes 42, Traore 43, Sigurdsson 45, Fraser 46, Alli 47, McNeil 51, Norwood 80 Ceballos 85
Forwards
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 10 gameweeks. No adjustment for bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 360 over the last 10 gameweeks. 180 over the last 5.
Top 5 value for money forwards over last 10 gameweeks
Wood
Abraham
Rashford
Maupay
Biggest rank risers last 10 GWks to last 5 GWks
Ashley Barnes 11 places – 15th last 10 GWks to 4th last 5 GWks
Ings 10 places – 21st last 10 to 11th last 5
Diogo Jota 7 places – 17th last 10 to 10th last 5
Biggest rank fallers last 10 to last 5
Aguero 20 places – 1st last 10 GWks to 21st last 5 GWks
Haller – 14 places – 10th last 10 GWks to 24th last 5 GWks
Wilson – 13 places – 13th last 10 GWks to 26th last 5 GWks
Kane – 10 places – 12th last 10 GWks to 22nd last 5 GWks
Pukki – 9 places – 16th last 10 GWks to 25nd last 5 GWks
Firmino – 8 places – 5th last 10 GWks to 13th last 5 GWks
Aubameyang – 8 places – 8th last 10 GWks to 16th last 5 GWks
Other notables
Jesus was 6th in the last 5 gameweeks but didn’t have the minutes for the last 10
Defenders
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 10 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheets, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 360 over the last 10. As clean sheets are a major factor in defenders points there is no value for money calculation.
Notable players who didn’t make it and their rank;
Boly 42, Emerson 43, Pereira 44, Guilbert 47, Janmaat 48, Wan Bissaka 51, Femenia 53, Van Dijk 60, Soyuncu 73, Lascelles 76 Tomori 79
Team defence
The fantasy premier league form table is sorted by xG Against over the last 10 gameweeks. I’ve also shown the difference between goals against and xG Against. A positive figure is over performance.
| Rank | Team | M | GA | xGA | xGA-GA |
| 1 | Liverpool | 10 | 8 | 8.76 | 0.76 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 10 | 11 | 9.70 | -1.30 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 10 | 12 | 10.92 | -1.08 |
| 4 | Everton | 10 | 18 | 11.05 | -6.95 |
| 5 | Leicester | 10 | 7 | 11.11 | 4.11 |
| 6 | Burnley | 10 | 16 | 12.11 | -3.89 |
| 7 | Manchester City | 10 | 11 | 12.21 | 1.21 |
| 8 | Wolves | 10 | 14 | 12.93 | -1.07 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 10 | 14 | 13.18 | -0.82 |
| 10 | Sheffield United | 10 | 8 | 14.78 | 6.78 |
| 11 | Bournemouth | 10 | 13 | 15.64 | 2.64 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 10 | 16 | 16.66 | 0.66 |
| 13 | Newcastle United | 10 | 14 | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 15 | 17.12 | 2.12 |
| 15 | Watford | 10 | 19 | 18.25 | -0.75 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 10 | 15 | 18.25 | 3.25 |
| 17 | West Ham | 10 | 14 | 18.27 | 4.27 |
| 18 | Brighton | 10 | 16 | 18.69 | 2.69 |
| 19 | Southampton | 10 | 24 | 20.14 | -3.86 |
| 20 | Norwich | 10 | 23 | 23.52 | 0.52 |
Team attack
The table is sorted by xG over the last 10 gameweeks. I’ve also shown the difference between goals and xG. A positive figure is over performance . A negative under performance.
| Rank | Team | M | G | xG | G – xG |
| 1 | Manchester City | 10 | 28 | 31.19 | -3.19 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 10 | 26 | 23.68 | 2.32 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 10 | 22 | 20.61 | 1.39 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 10 | 11 | 18.22 | -7.22 |
| 5 | Everton | 10 | 12 | 15.7 | -3.7 |
| 6 | Wolves | 10 | 15 | 15.36 | -0.36 |
| 7 | Brighton | 10 | 11 | 14.24 | -3.24 |
| 8 | Leicester | 10 | 28 | 14.17 | 13.83 |
| 9 | West Ham | 10 | 13 | 14.05 | -1.05 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 15 | 14.03 | 0.97 |
| 11 | Burnley | 10 | 13 | 13.97 | -0.97 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 10 | 13 | 13.87 | -0.87 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 10 | 12 | 13.53 | -1.53 |
| 14 | Watford | 10 | 8 | 13.44 | -5.44 |
| 15 | Southampton | 10 | 10 | 12.51 | -2.51 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 10 | 13 | 11.27 | 1.73 |
| 17 | Sheffield United | 10 | 11 | 11.18 | -0.18 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 10 | 10.84 | -0.84 |
| 19 | Norwich | 10 | 7 | 9.72 | -2.72 |
| 20 | Newcastle United | 10 | 10 | 8.71 | 1.29 |
Other posts
Early thoughts on the FFGeek team
FFGeek contributors show their GW13 teams part 1
Help Alex Ball choose his transfers for GW13
FFGeek league codes:
fantasy premier league: fnqq66
Sky Sports fantasy football: fantasyfootball.skysports.com/leagues/join with PIN 8426114
Telegraph fantasy football European Super League: League PIN: 8186902 League Passcode: 2113
Sun Dream Team:
Classic League PIN: SGDKX9Y3
H2H PIN: SGFU3CR9
Social Media
For more fantasy premier league form articles follow FFGeek on twitter and facebook and instagram for article updates and news
