fantasy premier league best forwards GW7 – player rankings


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Here’s our fantasy premier league best forwards GW7 player rankings article. There’s a table of stats to help you make a transfer choice and some brief commentary.

fantasy premier league best forwards GW7 – player rankings

This is our 3rd player rankings article. You can see defenders and GK rankings and midfielder rankings using these links

With a bit more time here’s the longer version although the comments are very short

Methodology

I’ve started with a selection of forwards that I think will start GW7 and have some longevity in the team.

I’ve then taken their expected goals and assist information from 17/18 and converted it into projected points through adjustments for minutes played bonus and fixtures. There’s also adjustments for any specific relevant 18/19 factors. For fixtures I’ve taken a slightly longer view than previously of 6 games.

Whether you believe the rankings or not there’s plenty of information to make your own decision

We are obviously only 6 gameweeks in so it’s inevitable that the large basis of information is based on last seasons stats

Stats definitions

Pts per 90 17/18: the FPL points earned per 90 minutes played in 17/18

PPM 18/19: the points per match from the FPL site

Fixture ease ranking so you can see who has the best fixtures from GW7-12 and GW7-9. See our fixture ease article

Underlying stats ranking is from our end of season underlying stats article where projected goals are turned into raw points. It’s their rank in relation to all forwards. Info from the excellent free site understat.com

VFM rank. I have divided their projected points by their price to get a rough value for money assessment

ATGS GW7 – 1 bookies anytime goalscoring odds for the player. It assumes they start and doesn’t include assist potential

The schedule

Here’s a link to the google spreadsheet. You can copy and paste it if you wish to change it

I haven’t done much in the way of commentary due to time and the number of players.



fantasy premier league best forwards GW7

Aguero

Only rotation is a negative as we go into UCL season and some short term fixtures

Brighton (H)
Liverpool (A)
Burnley (H)
Spurs (A)
Southampton (H)
Man Utd (H)

Kane

2 great fixtures next are the attraction despite indifferent form

Huddersfield (A)
Cardiff (H)
West Ham (A)
Man City (H)
Wolves (A)
Crystal Palace (A)

Lukaku

Playing well. Shame about the team’s form

West Ham (A)
Newcastle (H)
Chelsea (A)
Everton (H)
Bournemouth (A)
Man City (A)

Giroud

Disappointing vs West Ham but when on the pitch has been effective.  Will probably lose minutes due to substitutions.  Tricky fixtures.

Liverpool (H)
Southampton (A)
Man Utd (H)
Burnley (A)
Crystal Palace (H)
Everton (H)

Mitrovic

Absolutely on fire.  It’s just how sustainable it is

Everton (A)
Arsenal (H)
Cardiff (A)
Bournemouth (H)
Huddersfield (A)
Liverpool (A)

Firmino

Tricky fixtures and the attraction of Salah and Mane are the inhibitors

Chelsea (A)
Man City (H)
Huddersfield (A)
Cardiff (H)
Arsenal (A)
Fulham (H)

Wilson

Has been playing well and above historical levels and 90 mins.  However, faced his first substitution though v Burnley.  Fixtures are good.

Crystal Palace (H)
Watford (A)
Southampton (H)
Fulham (A)
Man Utd (H)
Newcastle (A)

Aubameyang

He is quality there’s no doubt.  However, playing on the left and two 60 minute odd substitutions are the limitations on someone at this price.

Watford (H)
Fulham (A)
Leicester (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)
Wolves (H)

Vardy

Good fixtures over the next 6, has pens and generally plays 90 minutes.  Underlying stats are the cautionary tale

Newcastle (A)
Everton (H)
Arsenal (A)
West Ham (H)
Cardiff (A)
Burnley (H)

Lacazette

Despite the goal against Everton has not been great even as a starting CF.  It’s all about fixtures

Watford (H)
Fulham (A)
Leicester (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Liverpool (H)
Wolves (H)

Arnautovic

An injury doubt for GW7.  Fixtures are the limitation.

Man Utd (H)
Brighton (A)
Spurs (H)
Leicester (A)
Burnley (H)
Huddersfield (A)



Ings

Been excellent since the loan move and should have pens.  Lack of history outside of a sub for Liverpool makes it difficult to assess over a longer period.  Fixtures are tricky

Wolves (A)
Chelsea (H)
Bournemouth (A)
Newcastle (H)
Man City (A)
Watford (H)

Josh King

Has pens and good fixtures but offering little else.

Crystal Palace (H)
Watford (A)
Southampton (H)
Fulham (A)
Man Utd (H)
Newcastle (A)

Zaha

Now playing on the left of a front 3 which isn’t ideal with tricky fixtures after the next 3.

Bournemouth (A)
Wolves (H)
Everton (A)
Arsenal (H)
Chelsea (A)
Spurs (H)

Deeney

Has pens and playing well.  Above expectations but by all accounts a much happy camper than last season

Arsenal (A)
Bournemouth (H)
Wolves (A)
Huddersfield (H)
Newcastle (A)
Southampton (A)

Jimenez

Little history to assess him but good short term fixtures for a gamble

Southampton (H)
Crystal Palace (A)
Watford (H)
Brighton (A)
Spurs (H)
Arsenal (A)

Murray

Has penalty duties but without Gross in a pretty negative team it’s uphill work

Man City (A)
West Ham (H
Newcastle (A)
Wolves (H)
Everton (A)
Cardiff (A)

Gray

The first showing of some decent stats v Fulham

Arsenal (A)
Bournemouth (H)
Wolves (A)
Huddersfield (H)
Newcastle (A)
Southampton (A)

See also our bandwagons and sinking ships  article,  underlying stats article,  early FFGeek team thoughts and the 10 top managers I follow article, fixture ease article

And our contributors articles from Andrew Ferguson and Paul Williams

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