Here’s our fantasy premier league form article of the season where we provide the underlying stats over the first 8 games to show players and teams recent form.
fantasy premier league form – underlying stats form tables up to GW8
People have different views as to what form constitutes. I think 4-6 games is way too short by itself and distorted by fixtures and one off performances so this season it will be for the last 10 gameweeks with 5 gameweeks as a very recent form check. As we are only at GW9 I will show up to there and introduce 10 games weeks and 5 when we get to that point.
I’ve taken all the information from the amazing free site understat.com.
Methodology
I’ve taken the last 8 gameweeks expected goals per 90 minutes (xG90) and expected assists per 90 (xA90) and turned them into projected FPL points over a hypothetical season. I’ve then adjusted it for the average minutes played per appearance. I’ve also now added in shots per 90 mins and Key passes per 90 mins for mids and forwards
Average minutes can be distorted by sub appearances and injury returns but those are imperfections I will have to live with to make it a viable article time wise
I’ve also added a value for money column for Mids and Fwds where I’ve just taken the projected points and divided them by the players value.
For attackers there’s no appearance clean sheet or bonus points. Just raw attacking points. For defenders the same.
Just because a player is in the schedule doesn’t mean he is fit or a guaranteed selection.
Values as of Saturday October 12
In each I’ve done the first 37 or so. If a player isn’t on there they either didn’t qualify through points or minutes
Midfielders
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 8 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheet, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 350 over the last 8 gameweeks.
Notable players who didn’t make it and their rank:
Traore 38, Zaha 39, James 41, Robinson 43, McNeil 53, Willian 55, Fraser 56, Guendouzi 62, Dendoncker 64 Ceballos 78
Forwards
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 8 gameweeks. No adjustment for bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 350 over the last 8 gameweeks.
Defence
The table is sorted by projected goal and assist only season FPL points adjusted for average minutes over the last 8 gameweeks. No adjustment for clean sheets, bonus or appearance points. Minimum minutes 350 over the last 8. As clean sheets are a major factor in defenders points there is no value for money calculation.
Notable players who didn’t make it and their rank:
Sokratis 38, Holebas 40, Kolasinac 41, Lowton 42, Van Dijk 43, Guilbert 44, Chilwell 46, Dunk 55, Fredericks 57, Matip 61, Tomori 74, Lascelles 78, Soyuncu 83
Team defence
The table is sorted by xG Against over the last 8 gameweeks. I’ve also shown the difference between goals against and xG Against. A positive figure is over performance .
| Rank | Team | M | GA | xGA | xGA-GA |
| 1 | Manchester United | 8 | 8 | 6.18 | -1.82 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 7.38 | 1.38 |
| 3 | Leicester | 8 | 7 | 9.49 | 2.49 |
| 4 | Burnley | 8 | 9 | 9.49 | 0.49 |
| 5 | Manchester City | 8 | 9 | 9.66 | 0.66 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 14 | 9.86 | -4.14 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 8 | 10.36 | 2.36 |
| 8 | Everton | 8 | 13 | 10.49 | -2.51 |
| 9 | Sheffield United | 8 | 7 | 10.84 | 3.84 |
| 10 | Wolves | 8 | 11 | 11.14 | 0.14 |
| 11 | Southampton | 8 | 15 | 11.85 | -3.15 |
| 12 | Tottenham | 8 | 12 | 11.91 | -0.09 |
| 13 | Brighton | 8 | 10 | 12.25 | 2.25 |
| 14 | Newcastle United | 8 | 13 | 12.54 | -0.46 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 8 | 11 | 12.88 | 1.88 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 8 | 12 | 13.46 | 1.46 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 8 | 13 | 14.84 | 1.84 |
| 18 | Watford | 8 | 20 | 15.34 | -4.66 |
| 19 | West Ham | 8 | 11 | 16.12 | 5.12 |
| 20 | Norwich | 8 | 21 | 17.48 | -3.52 |
Team attack
The table is sorted by xG over the last 8 gameweeks. I’ve also shown the difference between goals and xG. A positive figure is over performance . A negative under performance.
| № | Team | M | G | xG | G-xG |
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 27 | 25.52 | 1.48 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 8 | 20 | 17.43 | 2.57 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 8 | 18 | 17.24 | 0.76 |
| 4 | Southampton | 8 | 8 | 12.27 | -4.27 |
| 5 | Manchester United | 8 | 9 | 12.14 | -3.14 |
| 6 | Arsenal | 8 | 13 | 11.69 | 1.31 |
| 7 | West Ham | 8 | 11 | 11.45 | -0.45 |
| 8 | Brighton | 8 | 8 | 11.24 | -3.24 |
| 9 | Everton | 8 | 6 | 11.24 | -5.24 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 8 | 13 | 11.16 | 1.84 |
| 11 | Bournemouth | 8 | 13 | 11.13 | 1.87 |
| 12 | Watford | 8 | 4 | 10.93 | -6.93 |
| 13 | Norwich | 8 | 10 | 10.29 | -0.29 |
| 14 | Wolves | 8 | 11 | 10.05 | 0.95 |
| 15 | Tottenham | 8 | 14 | 9.92 | 4.08 |
| 16 | Burnley | 8 | 11 | 9.11 | 1.89 |
| 17 | Sheffield United | 8 | 7 | 9.06 | -2.06 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 8 | 8.64 | -0.64 |
| 19 | Leicester | 8 | 14 | 8.10 | 5.90 |
| 20 | Newcastle United | 8 | 5 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
Other posts
You can also see Rob Reid’s wildcard article as well as Keith and Costas’s , also Kris O’s wildcard drafts and Ben and Kev’s wildcard drafts
Also Rick Porters cutting through the FPL noise
Early thoughts on the FFGeek team
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