fantasy premier league GW10 tips – the bandwagons and sinking ships


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Here’s our fantasy premier league GW10 tips article where we outline the bandwagons and sinking ships. These are the most transferred in players (bandwagons) and most transferred out players (sinking ships) so far in the FPL gameweek.

fantasy premier league GW10 tips – the bandwagons and sinking ships

Stats definition:

PP90: The FPL points per 90 minutes played for 18/19.

Av mins last 4: The average minutes played in the last 4 games. Coming on as sub or not being played for non injury related matters will count

Consistency: the number of times a goal or assist has been returned in a match as a proportion of the total starts.

ATGS/CS* odds GW10: Anytime goal scorer odds or clean sheet odds* for defenders for GW10.

Fixture ease: The fixture ranking by difficulty for GW10-15 and GW10-12. See our fixture ease article

U Stats position rank. The ranking from an attacking point of view for their FPL position of Fwd or Mid or def in 18/19. These are taken from our cumulative underlying stats article for GW9. Taken from the excellent free site understat.com and free site whoscored.com

Prices as of Monday 22 October

The Bandwagons

These are the 5 most transferred IN players so far in the gameweek.



fantasy premier league GW10 tips

Martial

Again we see the gameweeks top scorer, so far,  being the most transferred in player.

The Man Utd LW was one of the few United players to be rested over the summer having not made Frances World Cup squad.  It can’t have been easy seeing your former Monaco team mate light up and win the World Cup while afterwards you’re being ostracised by your boss for spending time with your newly born baby.

However, Martial has started the last 3 games now and scored 3 goals in those 3 games including 2 v Chelsea at the weekend.  Martial’s potential is immense, I don’t think that’s in question, but the situation isn’t cut and dry.  From a gametime point of view he’s competing directly with Sanchez for the left sided position in a front 3.  Despite Sanchez’s indifferent form that’s some competition, although one of them could play RW.

Secondly it’s been 3 goals from 3 shots in this little run and the underlying stats so far this season (albeit only on 350 minutes odd) are absolutely appalling.  Now this isn’t the end of the world.  His underlying stats last season were some of the best for midfielders and he’s shown he can over perform by being a very good finisher.

However anyone getting him now needs to make a leap of faith on gametime and that this is the real Martial not a flash in the pan version.

Everton (H)
Bournemouth (A)
Man City (A)
Crystal Palace (H)
Southampton (A)
Arsenal (H)

Mendy

As a defender to have a PP90 of 7.8 (especially when you actually play 90 minutes) and then you return a goal, assist or clean sheet in 5 of your 6 performances, it’s nothing but incredible.  Mind blowing in fact.

To me he’s worth every penny and the occasional benching that will inevitably come.  Funnily enough his underlying stats as of the previous gameweek aren’t that great but that does seem to be the case with generally crossing focused players.  In the last 3 games he also hasn’t taken a shot compared to 6 in his first 3 games which may suggest that Pep has tried to focus him a bit more positionally as well as on his time keeping.

As a general proposition though the Liverpool and Man City defences are miles ahead of the rest and for me should be represented.  Mendy for me is worth the extra cash over £5.8m Laporte.

Away to Spurs possibly isn’t the optimum time to buy

Spurs (A)
Southampton (H)
Man Utd (H)
West Ham (A)
Bournemouth (H)
Watford (A)

Pereyra

After starting the season with a bang with 3 goals in his first 3 games Pereyra then went 5 games without a return.  To be fair 3 of those games were against Spurs, Man Utd and Arsenal so there is a bit of a back story but still.  Is his goal against Wolves the turning point after the drought?  Certainly the underlying stats give a mixed answer even if you strip out the top 6 games.  Half of the games have been good half have been very poor.

What is clear though is there are 3 good fixtures next.

Huddersfield (H)
Newcastle (A)
Southampton (A)
Liverpool (H)
Leicester (A)
Man City (H)

Wilson

Cardiff score 4 goals against Fulham.  That’s the same as they amassed in their first 8 games.  Fulham have conceded 25 goals this season.  That’s 6 more than any other team.  They also have the worst xG conceded.  Therefore they are a handy entry point for a transfer that’s for sure.

Wilson has had a good season so far that’s but I wonder whether it’s also the start of a pattern of players being bought before their Fulham fixture.

Wilson only had the 1 shot vs Southampton but it’s hard to criticise his 3 goals and 7 assist season which has seen him play 90 minutes in every game bar 1.  His underlying stats are excellent overall as well.  It’s just sustainability and the fact that the fixtures aren’t far away from turning

Fulham (A)
Man Utd (H)
Newcastle (A)
Arsenal (H)
Man City (A)
Huddersfield (H)

Robertson 

I said above that I think Liverpool and Man City are the best defensive teams.  I also think Robertson is the best attacking option in the Liverpool defence although only 2 assists to date and his underlying stats don’t probably do him justice.

FPL pts per 90 of 6.3 and returning a goal, assist or clean sheet in 7 of 9 matches speak for themselves.  We will probably see some rotation but the hope would be that he’s rested for the Red Star UCL game this week at least to secure his GW10 start.

Cardiff (H)
Arsenal (A)
Fulham (H)
Watford (A)
Everton (H)
Burnley (A)

Sinking Ships

These are the 5 most transferred OUT players so far in the gameweek.



fantasy premier league GW10 tips

Mane

Missed GW9 after a hand injury sustained in the International Break.  Apparently back in training though so looks like a possible for the weekend.

Even before that news I, personally, am not sure I would have sold him this early in the week before a home game against Cardiff.  He has had some indifferent form blanking in his last 4 starts.  Although to be fair 3 of those were against Chelsea, Spurs and Man City.  Still if you’re selling someone before a home game v Cardiff you must have very little to do with the rest of your team

Cardiff (H)
Arsenal (A)
Fulham (H)
Watford (A)
Everton (H)
Burnley (A)

Alexander Arnold

To be dropped before a game v Man City for Gomez who is defensively stronger is understandable.  To be dropped for a game at Huddersfield is another matter altogether and raises the question as to how much gametime he will see in the future.  Unless you have the utmost faith in the fact that Gomez will hold that RB position and that Lovren will also then you’re looking at shelling out some decent money for Van Dijk at £5.9m or Robertson at £6.4m.  They appear to be the safest 2 at the moment.

There ‘s no doubt about the quality of the Liverpool defence with 6 clean sheets and only conceding 3 goals,  both equal at the top with Man City.  Man City have the slight edge on expected goals conceded.

The Red Star UCL match may give some clues as to the versus Cardiff makeup  but it wouldn’t surprise me if Alexander Arnold played and neither Gomez or Lovren did.  That would seriously cast doubts on Alexander Arnolds involvement in GW10.

Cardiff (H)
Arsenal (A)
Fulham (H)
Watford (A)
Everton (H)
Burnley (A)

Moura

It doesn’t matter if you’re cheap in a top 6 side and play as a striker, effectively, even though you’re a midfielder. If you go 5 games with no returns you’re going to be transferred out.  Some may have taken comfort from some pretty outstanding underlying stats over the GW7 and GW8 as a reason to hold v West Ham but no shots and another blank with Man City next, it’s no surprise we are where we are.

Man City (H)
Wolves (A)
Crystal Palace (A)
Chelsea (H)
Arsenal (A)
Southampton (H)

Kane

I posted some shot stats on twitter a couple of weeks back so here’s an update.

In the first 9 games of the season Kane has taken 2 shots in a game on 5 occasions.  West Ham was another 2 shot game.  Prior to this season you have to go back 50 games to find 5 games that he took 2 shots or less.  How far you have to go back to see him playing as a number 10 rather than a striker and I’d probably have a guess at his loan spell with Leyton Orient.

None of that is good.

If you were forensically looking for good signs you’d probably say that his expected goals per 90 aren’t a million miles away from history, except for last year which you could look as an outlier.  Those previous seasons have still seen 29, 25 and 21 goals albeit topped up with penalties.

Personally I find it hard to be positive.  If you are wanting to be positive,  you need to ignore the stats and say this is Harry Kane, he’s scored 105 goals over the last 4 seasons and you’re ditching him after 9 games?

Man City (H)
Wolves (A)
Crystal Palace (A)
Chelsea (H)
Arsenal (A)
Southampton (H)

Kyle Walker

Injured for GW9 it appears he’s in the travelling party for the UCL game v Shaktar.  Although Spurs away is a good exit point I would still be hesitant to ditch someone in the Man City defence although a straight swap to Mendy could be one of the transfers taking place.

Spurs (A)
Southampton (H)
Man Utd (H)
West Ham (A)
Bournemouth (H)
Watford (A)

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1 thought on “fantasy premier league GW10 tips – the bandwagons and sinking ships”

  1. Mane being the most transferred out player this week when he is back from injury (and scored) with a home game against Cardiff pending just makes no sense!!

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