fantasy premier league transfer tips GW10 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

Fantasy Premier League, top 10 FPL managers

2 of the managers used their wildcard in GW9 and you can see those teams.  It was a  tough week though with 8 managers getting red arrows.  Here’s our fantasy premier league transfer tips GW10 article where we analyse the teams of 10 top FPL managers. These 10 managers have not finished outside the overall rank of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons. Considering how variable the last 3 years have been this is remarkable consistency and shows an ability to adapt strategy in different seasons. It also gives you a view other than my own on strategy and player selection.

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW10 – analysing the teams of 10 top FPL managers

Introduction

If the article is too long there’s a combined FPL managers team for the top 10 FPL managers analysed towards the end of the article.

Firstly, there are 9 new managers in the 10 this season. The only repeat manager I’ve found again finished in the top 100 last season

The criteria I’ve always been looking for is managers who’ve finished in the top 10k for the last 3 years when FPL has become considerably harder due to the amount of people playing and the information available.

It took me a long time to track down 10 managers who’ve been so consistent and I imagine it will get harder and harder

The 10 managers stats

These managers are incredible and every bit as impressive as last season.

1. The overall average finishing overall rank of the top 10 managers in the last 3 seasons is 3,800

2. The top 10 FPL managers have not been out of the top 10k in the last 3 seasons (ie 30 times playing)

3. 3 of the 10 have finished in the top 1,000 in the last 3 seasons

4. 2 of the 10 have finished in the top 100 in the last 3 seasons




Gameweek 9 review

A poor gameweek for the 10 managers with 8 getting a red arrow and a reasonable overall rank average drop.

The average score of the managers in GW9 was 35 after taking points deductions for extra transfers into account. That’s 2 points and 5% worse than the game average of 37. High score of the 10 was 43. The low score was 35 -4 = 31

The average overall rank of the top 10 FPL managers is 649k. That’s worsened by 67k from last week. The best overall rank is 192k and the lowest 1,289k. It’s important to get a perspective though on OR at this stage.  Despite their being nearly 1.1 million in overall rank between the managers there’s only 39 points.  That’s 28k per average point.  We’ve seen that 39 points can be wiped out in 1 gameweek. OR is still very misleading.

The average total points are 483

The average team value is £101.9m.

You can see my score and rank in the early FFGeek team article which I will do today hopefullu

The combined total of individual players

I’ve generally only included where there is a minimum of a player in 3 out of the 10 FPL managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by player

Pope is in 8 of the FPL managers teams

Alexander-Arnold, Lundstram and Soyuncu are in 7 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Otamendi is in 6 of the 10 managers teams

Button is in 5 of the 10 managers teams

Rico and Tomori are in 4 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Digne, Robertson and Van Dijk are in 3 of the 10 managers teams

Goalkeeper/Defence by team

Liverpool GK/Defs are represented 13 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Burnley GK/Defs are represented 9 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Man City GK/Defs, Sheffield, Brighton and Leicester are represented 7 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Chelsea and Bournemouth are represented 4 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Everton are represented 3 times in the 10 FPL managers teams

Midfielders

Sterling is in 10 of the FPL managers teams

Mount is in 8 of the 10 FPL managers teams

De Bruyne is in 7 of the FPL managers teams

Dendoncker, Salah and Cantwell are in 5 of the FPL managers teams

Hayden, Hudson-Odoi and Maddison are in 2 of the FPL managers teams

Forwards

Abrham is in 9 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Pukki is in 7 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Wilson is in 5 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Aubameyang is in 3 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Connolly is in 2 of the 10 FPL managers teams

Gameweek 9 captain choice

7 of the 10 FPL managers went with Abraham

2 of the 10 FPL managers went with Wilson

1 of the 10 FPL managers went with Sterling

The FFGeek poll was 40% Abraham, 15% Sterling and 9% Aguero and Wilson

Formations

Not done this week sorry

Wildcards, chips, transfers and hits

Wildcards and Chips

2 of the managers used their wildcard this week. 5 have now used the wildcard in total and none have used a chip.

Here are the 2 Wildcard teams:

This manager got 36 points from his WC




fantasy premier league transfer tips GW10

Here’s the 2nd manager’s wildcard team.  He got 43 points

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW10

Transfers

9 of the managers (including the wildcarders) made transfers.

Transfers in

Callum Wilson was transferred in twice

No one else was transferred in more than once

Transfers out

Greenwood was transferred out twice

No one else was transferred out more than once

The top 10k overall rank vs the 10 FPL managers

At the moment my plan is to do this after GW10 when hopefully the overall rank table settles down a bit as overall rank is still very volatile. This means the set of managers in the top 10k will change drastically each week meaning the information is too changeable and therefore misleading and unhelpful rather than of use.

The template

I use the 10 managers as a proxy for serious managers teams and have a basic rule of thumb that if 7 of the 10 managers have a player or a team defence then I will seriously consider getting that player in.

Here’s the template on that basis. The difficulty with tracking the template is that you’re 1 game behind it as you obviously can’t see what their transfers are leading up to the gameweek opening.

1 Liverpool defender – Alexander Arnold

Man City defender – Otamendi

Leicester defender – Soyuncu

Pope

Sterling

Mount

De Bruyne

Abraham

That above is the core template.

Lundstram you could also count as well as he fist the criteria technically. Whether you think he will be benched enough not to be a threat is the question you need to ask yourself.

Pukki technically qualifies but after 5 blanks I expect this week he’ll be sold enough to be moved out.

I haven’t counted the Brighton defence as it’s made up significantly by a non playing £4.0m GK.

It’s a strong template at the moment with 9 players including  Lundstram. That means there are 6 players as difference makers and permanent bench players available.

One managers team

Here’s the 3rd placed of the 10 managers on 496 points and 279k OR

fantasy premier league transfer tips GW10

You can see that he has 7 of the 8 core template players in Alexander-Arnold, Otamendi, Soyuncu, Pope, Sterling, De Bruyne and Abraham.

He also has Pukki and Lundstram to make 9.

His template replacement player for Mount I guess is Salah to make 10.

His permanent bench players are Dendoncker, Rico, Cantwell and Button to make 14 which leaves his difference maker as being (in addition to Salah) Haller

The combined 10 top FPL managers teams

Here’s a team which tries to make a combination from the most represented players. Please note that it is meant to be a menu of players to help you choose your transfer rather than a realistic team and it’s value is not necessarily achievable. It’s about £104.3m

 

That’s it. Hope you found it useful

Other posts

 Fixture ease

Bandwagons and sinking ships

More content

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