fantasy premier league captain tips GW9 – plus transfer poll results

Here’s our fantasy premier league captain tips GW9 article where we look at ways of assessing the best captain pick for the gameweek. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FPL advice site polls, who the FFGeek contributors are captaining, some stats and the FFGeek choice. We also look at the results of the transfer in and out polls.

fantasy premier league captain tips GW9 – plus transfer poll results

The fixtures

The Bookies Team win odds

3 teams are favourites this week:

Man City v Burnley – £1.05 Aguero, Sterling, D Silva

Hudderfield v Liverpool – £1.32  Salah, Firmino

Arsenal v Leicester £1.53 – Lacazette

The Bookies player odds

Here’s a bookies anytime goal scoring odds up to £2.25 for £1 invested as of Saturday morning. It assumes the player starts and doesn’t count assist potential

£1.40 – Aguero

£1.70 – Kane, Sterling

£1.80 – Salah

£1.83 – Lacazette, Aubameyang, Mahrez, Sane

£2.20 – Giroud, Morata, Hazard

The FPL advice site Polls

Here’s the FFGeek captain poll:

You can see the full FFGeek captain poll with this link

Here’s a summary of 4 captain polls:

The FFGeek poll asks who will you captain as does site 2 although just gives you a couple of options. Site 1 asks for the best captain and site 3 is silent on the question.

The FFGeek contributors

Here’s the FFGeek contributors captain picks as it stands. Pretty much a full house this week

You can see the contributors teams article part 1 and contributors part 2 and contributors part 3 here

Some stats

This week I’m looking at Aguero and Hazard as there’s still no certainty Salah will start.

Aguero

Here’s Aguero’s starts in 17/18 against non top 6 sides at home.

Returns in 7/10 games (70%).  He also was benched in mainly away games as well which is a good sign

Here’s his 18/19 home games against non top 6 teams

So he’s returned in all 4 games and started in all 4.  A good average and 2/4 double figure FPL point hauls.  The minutes are the things that standout though.  Apparently it’s to do with a foot injury which is being managed so if that’s cleared up maybe we will see more.

The Burnley defence

The Burnley defence has yet to play away against a top 6 team.  There only game against a top 6 team was v Man Utd where they lost at home 0-2.

Overall in goals conceded they are 8th equal among 5 teams that have conceded 12 goals.  In xG conceded they are alot worse in 18th place overall

Hazard

Here’s Hazard’s games in 17/18 against top 6 sides at home. Difficult to translate stats for Hazard to this season given that Conte was such a defensive manager compared to Sarri.

Yes he blanked in all 5 games.  You can see apart from the Spurs game though how low scoring they were. I can’t see that being the case with Sarri.

In 18/19 he’s started 2 games at home against top 6 opposition.  Here’s the stats

So scored v Liverpool and if he scores he has a decent chance of 3 bonus points as well.

The Man Utd defence

Man Utd have yet to play a top 6 team away in 18/19.  The only top 6 opponent so far has been Spurs at home where they lost 0-3 although the xG conceded was 1.4 and Spurs only had 9 shots.

Overall as a defence they’ve conceded 14 goals which is 16th equal in the league. In overall xG conceded they are ranked 10th.

Here’s the 17/18 results away against top 6 sides.

The questions is will and does Mourinho’s team have the ability to shut up shop against Chelsea

Summary

I would be very surprised if either Hazard or Aguero didn’t start given the importance of the game to Chelsea and Aguero being rested over the international break unlike Jesus.

Both have penalty duties btw.

The Bookies have Aguero at £1.40 anytime goalscoring odds and Hazard £2.20

The polls have Aguero as the runaway leader.  I think the FFGeek poll will be the most reflective of what people are doing and that’s 68% Aguero to 5% Hazard.

Stats wise you would go with Aguero although minutes have been a concern.  The Man Utd defence has been poor but Burnley have been shambolic although it seems key defender Tarkowski is fit at least.

The FFGeek choice

The polls are too strong to ignore so I’m going with Aguero.

The transfer in and out polls

That’s it hope you found it useful.

See also the player rankings articles for defenders, midfielders and forwards

Plus the  imaginary wildcard GW9,   bandwagons and sinking ships article for the most popular transfers and Paul Williams on Brighton

Yaniv Salomon has activated his wildcard see his options and vote in the poll

See also the Geeks team early thoughts and the 10 top FPL managers I follow articles

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