Here’s our fantasy premier league tips forwards GW10 article in our player rankings series. There’s a table of stats to help you make a transfer choice plus some commentary afterwards
fantasy premier league tips forwards GW10 – player rankings
This is the 3rd article in our player rankings series. See the defender and GK player rankings article and the midfield player rankings article
Methodology
I’ve started with a selection of forwards that I think will start GW10 and have some longevity in the team.
I’ve then looked at their expected goals and assists data in 18/19 so far as well as how it relates to their historical numbers. I’ve then adjusted it for their ability to over/underperform, their bonus potential, their fixtures over the next 6 and any specific 18/19 factors and numbers.
Whether you believe the rankings or not there’s plenty of information to make your own decision
Stats definitions
There are a number of new stats this week so worth reading
SP/Pen: indicates whether the player has some set piece representation or penalty responsibility. A question mark means there is some doubt over the responsibility.
Pts per 90: the FPL points earned per 90 minutes played in 18/19
Consistency: the % of starts where the player has scored a goal or assist. Sub appearances are ignored.
Mins last 4: average minutes of the last 4 matches. Generally I count sub appearances or rotation but not injury absences although there is some discretion there.
Fixture ease ranking so you can see who has the best fixtures from GW10-15 and GW10-12. See our fixture ease article
Underlying stats ranking is from our underlying stats article cumulative to GW9 where projected goals are turned into raw points. It’s their rank in relation to each midfielder on that articles schedule not for every midfielder. Info from the excellent free site understat.com article and the free site whoscored.com
VFM rank. I have divided their projected points by their price to get a rough value for money assessment. This time it just ranks them in relation to each other.
ATGS GW10 – 1 bookies anytime goalscoring odds for the player. It assumes they start and doesn’t include assist potential. They aren’t available as yet and I’ll fill them in later.
Player values are as of Thursday 25th October.
The schedule
Here’s the schedule which ranks the players by projected points over the next 6 games. If difficult to read you can copy and paste it by using this link to the google spreadsheet
Not too many surprises. Kane still stays very high as his underlying stats maybe down in volume but still not a million miles away from where he’s scored 25 goals in the past in xG terms.
I didn’t include Aubameyang. I know he’s the 2nd top scoring points forward but it seems ridiculous to pick someone who isn’t starting.
Murray is an injury doubt so I haven’t included him. Deeney I have though although he too is a doubt
I also didn’t pick anyone from Chelsea until the Morata v Giroud thing settles down. Murray is an injury doubt and Tosun and Gray are gametime doubts.
Little else needs explaining I think.
See also the popular and not so popular players in the bandwagons and sinking ships article plus also who the 10 top managers I follow have in their team. Also who I have or maybe interested in getting in the early thoughts on the FFgeek team article
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